Result
1:1
26/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Guatemala | Tigo Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Ibarguen E. ⚽,
- 24', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Herrarte J. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
- 46', Rivas B. ↓, Chavasco G. ↑,
- 49', Folleco R. 🟨,
- 61', Racancoj J. 🟨,
- 63', 🟨,
- 64', Folleco R. 🟥,
- 65', Herrarte K. 🟨,
- 65', 🟨,
- 65', Mingorance P. 🟨,
- 66', 🟨,
- 66', Garcia K. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Meza P. ⚽,
- 73', 🟨,
- 74', 🟨,
- 88', Mingorance P. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aurora
38.5% | Draw
30.5% | Mictlán
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Mictlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aurora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Aurora - Mictlán Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.11) |
3.21 ↑
(3.1) |
3.15 ↓
(3.24) |
2.3%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aurora - Mictlán?
Users Predictions:
Mictlán will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Aurora is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mictlán is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mictlán might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Aurora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Mictlán?
Aurora has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mictlán won against Aurora?
Mictlán has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Mictlán were as follows:
11.03.2026
Mictlán
-
Aurora
2:0
22.11.2025
Mictlán
-
Aurora
4:0
22.10.2025
Aurora
-
Mictlán
3:2
Latest results of Mictlán
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Xelaju | Marquense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Comunicaciones | Antigua | 2 : 0, 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | Coban Imperial | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Municipal | Guastatoya | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
