Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 19
- Referee: Aleman J. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (274/352) | 81% (321/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (274/352) | 81% (321/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (43/71) | 57% (43/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (77/114) | 61% (57/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Viviani L. ⚽,
- 15', 2 - 0, Viviani L. ⚽, Ramallo R. (A),
- 36', Godoy J. 🟨,
- 44', Amoroso J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Altamirano S. ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
- 47', Portuncho Y. 🟨,
- 57', Flores A. 🟨,
- 59', Justiniano G. 🟨,
- 61', Ramallo R. 🟨,
- 70', Fernandez A. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 70', Quiroga A. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
- 70', Quaglio F. ↓, Bustos R. ↑,
- 71', Ballivian R. 🟨,
- 76', Terrazas A. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
- 76', Ballivian R. ↓, Huayhuata I. ↑,
- 80', Arrascaita J. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽, Chavez A. (A),
- 90+2', Viviani L. ↓, Michel J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aurora
37.2% | Draw
25.2% | The Strongest
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Aurora - The Strongest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.47) |
3.63 ↑
(3.4) |
2.34 ↓
(2.51) |
9.6%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Aurora - The Strongest?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). The Strongest will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aurora: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. The Strongest (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.
- Aurora is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The Strongest has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aurora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against The Strongest?
Aurora has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has The Strongest won against Aurora?
The Strongest has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - The Strongest were as follows:
18.04.2025
The Strongest
-
Aurora
3:2
24.11.2024
Aurora
-
The Strongest
1:0
27.07.2024
The Strongest
-
Aurora
1:1
04.11.2023
Aurora
-
The Strongest
0:3
09.08.2023
The Strongest
-
Aurora
0:1
Latest results of The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 59:37 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 52:23 | 29 | 43 |
| 4 | Blooming | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 45:41 | 4 | 34 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Independiente | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:43 | -6 | 30 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
