Basconia vs Aurrerá Ondarroa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa
Result
4:0
14/01/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 16

Chances of winning


Basconia
62.5%
Draw
22.3%
Aurrerá Ondarroa
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 19.1% 13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1% 18.7% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basconia's form might have worsened.
  • Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.34)
    4.06
    (4.75)
    5.93
    (6.77)
    10.8%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Basconia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Aurrerá Ondarroa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Basconia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Basconia is absolute favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Basconia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Basconia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa were as follows:
    25.02.2023 Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa 2:0
    22.10.2022 Aurrerá Ondarroa - Basconia 1:0
    Latest results of Basconia
    06.01.2024 Urduliz - Basconia 2:1
    17.12.2023 Añorga - Basconia 1:2
    03.12.2023 Basconia - Alavés C 1:0
    25.11.2023 Deusto - Basconia 1:1
    19.11.2023 Basconia - Leioa 3:1
    Latest results of Aurrerá Ondarroa
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2