Result
4:0
14/01/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 16
Chances of winning
Basconia 62.5% | Draw 22.3% | Aurrerá Ondarroa 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basconia's form might have worsened.Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↑ (1.34) |
4.06 ↓ (4.75) |
5.93 ↓ (6.77) |
10.8% (10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Basconia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Aurrerá Ondarroa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Basconia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Basconia is absolute favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Basconia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Basconia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Basconia won against Aurrerá Ondarroa?
Basconia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurrerá Ondarroa won against Basconia?
Aurrerá Ondarroa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa were as follows:
25.02.2023
Basconia
-
Aurrerá Ondarroa
2:0
22.10.2022
Aurrerá Ondarroa
-
Basconia
1:0
Latest results of Basconia
Latest results of Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Portugalete | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 13 |
2 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
3 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
4 | San Ignacio | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Pasaia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Lagun Onak | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
7 | Touring KE | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Zamudio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Durango | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Eibar C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
11 | Zarautz KE | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Real Sociedad C | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
13 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
14 | Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
15 | Derio | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
16 | Alaves C | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Anorga | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
18 | SD Deusto | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 1 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation