Result
4:0
14/01/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 16
Chances of winning
Basconia
62.5% | Draw
22.3% | Aurrerá Ondarroa
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basconia's form might have worsened.Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.34) |
4.06 ↓
(4.75) |
5.93 ↓
(6.77) |
10.8%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Basconia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Aurrerá Ondarroa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Basconia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Basconia is absolute favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Basconia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Basconia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Basconia won against Aurrerá Ondarroa?
Basconia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurrerá Ondarroa won against Basconia?
Aurrerá Ondarroa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa were as follows:
25.02.2023
Basconia
-
Aurrerá Ondarroa
2:0
22.10.2022
Aurrerá Ondarroa
-
Basconia
1:0
Latest results of Basconia
Latest results of Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Portugalete | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Zamudio | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Santurtzi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Lagun Onak | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Touring KE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Derio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Leioa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pasaia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | San Ignacio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Zarautz KE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Eibar C | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Alaves C | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Durango | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | UD Aretxabaleta | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Anorga | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
