Result
4:0
14/01/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 16
Chances of winning
Basconia 62.5% | Draw 22.3% | Aurrerá Ondarroa 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basconia's form might have worsened.Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↑ (1.34) |
4.06 ↓ (4.75) |
5.93 ↓ (6.77) |
10.8% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Basconia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Aurrerá Ondarroa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Basconia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Basconia is absolute favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Basconia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Basconia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Basconia won against Aurrerá Ondarroa?
Basconia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurrerá Ondarroa won against Basconia?
Aurrerá Ondarroa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa were as follows:
25.02.2023
Basconia
-
Aurrerá Ondarroa
2:0
22.10.2022
Aurrerá Ondarroa
-
Basconia
1:0
Latest results of Basconia
Latest results of Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 62:23 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 56 |
| 3 | Leioa | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 48:28 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 33:23 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Derio | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:34 | 17 | 47 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 47 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad C | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:35 | -1 | 43 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 48:50 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Anorga | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 13 | Zamudio | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 23:40 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 26:56 | -30 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation