Australia W vs Netherlands W, World Championship Water Polo Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Water polo World Championship Water Polo Women Australia W - Netherlands W
Result
11:13
23/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Championship Women - 5th-8th places - 5th place

Chances of winning


Australia W
25.9%
Draw
12.2%
Netherlands W
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 12.9% 60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 11.5% 54.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Australia W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Netherlands W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Australia W than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Netherlands W than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Netherlands W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Australia W - Netherlands W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.52
    (3.48)
    7.45
    (7.1)
    1.48
    (1.51)
    9.6%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 23.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Australia won 1.
    • Australia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Netherlands has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Netherlands may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Netherlands is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Australia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 99:107. (average 9:9.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Australia W - Netherlands W were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Netherlands W - Australia W 12:6
    14.01.2025 Netherlands W - Australia W 11:9
    31.07.2024 Netherlands W - Australia W 14:15
    16.02.2024 Australia W - Netherlands W 8:10
    11.04.2023 Australia W - Netherlands W 7:11
    Latest results of Australia W
    21.07.2025 Australia W - Japan W 21:17
    19.07.2025 Australia W - Greece W 7:8
    15.07.2025 Australia W - New Zealand W 15:6
    13.07.2025 Australia W - Italy W 19:15
    11.07.2025 Singapore W - Australia W 2:34
    Latest results of Netherlands W
    21.07.2025 Italy W - Netherlands W 13:16
    19.07.2025 Spain W - Netherlands W 15:13
    15.07.2025 China W - Netherlands W 7:13
    13.07.2025 Netherlands W - USA W 9:11
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Australia WBye
    2Greece WFrance W23 : 9
    3USA WBye
    4Japan WGreat Britain W23 : 10
    5Hungary WBye
    6Italy WChina W13 : 11
    7Spain WBye
    8New Zealand WNetherlands W9 : 14

    Quarter-finals
    1Australia WGreece W7 : 8
    2USA WJapan W26 : 8
    3Hungary WItaly W12 : 9
    4Spain WNetherlands W15 : 13

    Semi-finals
    1Greece WUSA W14 : 10
    2Hungary WSpain W15 : 9

    Final
    1Greece WHungary W12 : 9

    3rd place
    2USA WSpain W12 : 13