Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
12/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Liga - Round 6
  • Referee: Spurny J. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
germanyGermanyLaola1
switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
16
Red Cards
03
Total shots
154
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
91
Corner Kicks
52
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Weinhandl L. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Lahne J. , Wade M. (A),
  • 33', Bakhty S. 🟨,
  • 43', Bakhty S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Locker J. , Burger D. ,
  • 46', 2 - 0, Lahne J. , Wade M. (A),
  • 61', Jastrzembski D. , Jabateh I. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Osayantin R. , Afrifa L. (A),
  • 69', Ibertsberger L. , Rouquette A. ,
  • 78', Osayantin R. , Lazarre W. ,
  • 79', Grabher P. 🟨,
  • 83', Diarra S. , Ismailcebioglu H. ,
  • 87', Afrifa L. , Morgenstern L. ,
  • 90+2', Pernot B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Delaye S. , Maak M. ,
  • 90+3', Lahne J. , Bouchenna M. ,
  • 90+6', Pernot B. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Weinhandl L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Austria Lustenau
60.3%
Draw
21.3%
Sturm Graz B
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 22.4% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 19% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austria Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Sturm Graz B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austria Lustenau that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sturm Graz B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.6)
    4.37
    (4.1)
    5.07
    (4.5)
    7.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz B?
  • Users Predictions: Austria Lustenau will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Austria Lustenau will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
    • Austria Lustenau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sturm B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sturm B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sturm B has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Austria Lustenau is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Austria Lustenau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Austria Lustenau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz B were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Sturm Graz B - Austria Lustenau 0:1
    21.09.2024 Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz B 0:0
    Latest results of Austria Lustenau
    Latest results of Sturm Graz B
    Austrian 2 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Admira1797139:162334
    2A. Lustenau17104323:131034
    3Amstetten1788129:161332
    4St. Polten17102530:191132
    5Floridsdorfer AC1685323:101329
    6Austria Vienna (Am)1773721:25-424
    7Liefering1657424:26-222
    8First Vienna1655618:18020
    9A. Salzburg1654721:27-619
    10SK Rapid II1644818:26-816
    11A. Klagenfurt1653818:24-615
    12Kapfenberg17431020:35-1515
    13Hertha Wels1735916:25-914
    14Sturm Graz II1525815:28-1311
    15Bregenz1627720:27-710
    16Stripfing00000:000

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