Result
3:1
14/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 17
- Referee: Talic A. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | ORF 1, ORF On, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (241/341) | 77% (302/390) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (241/341) | 77% (302/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (16/54) | 26% (10/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (47/89) | 66% (77/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (19/22) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Malic A. ⚽, Mitchell J. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Ranftl R. ⚽, Eggestein J. (A),
- 37', 2 - 1, Eggestein J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+5', Jatta S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jatta S. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
- 63', Karic E. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 71', Maybach P. ↓, Saljic S. ↑,
- 74', Barry A. 🟨,
- 74', Hodl J. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
- 80', Gorenc Stankovic J. ↓, Chukwuani T. ↑,
- 80', Malic A. ↓, Bendra K. ↑,
- 81', Ranftl R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Eggestein J. ↓, Boateng K. ↑,
- 90+5', Kiteishvili O. 🟨,
- 90+5', Fischer M. ↓, Raguz M. ↑,
- 90+9', 3 - 1, Boateng K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Austria Wien
35.5% | Draw
28.9% | Sturm Graz
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austria Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Austria Wien - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.36) |
3.24 ↓
(3.25) |
2.65 ↓
(2.79) |
6.3%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Austria Wien - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Sturm will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austria: 23.4% – 70.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Sturm (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Austria Wien will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Austria (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sturm (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austria won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sturm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Austria: Botic N.
(Broken ankle)
El Sheiwi Z.
(Knee Injury)
Handl J.
(Illness)
Kante A.
(Knee Injury)
Sarkaria M.
(Injury)
Vucic R.
(Knee Injury)
Wustinger F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Lavalee D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Austria: Saljic S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Grgic L.
(Injury)
Rozga F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Austria won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Austria won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.4:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Austria Wien won against Sturm Graz?
Austria Wien has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Austria Wien?
Sturm Graz has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Austria Wien - Sturm Graz were as follows:
14.09.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Austria Wien
0:1
27.04.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Austria Wien
0:1
23.04.2025
Austria Wien
-
Sturm Graz
2:1
07.02.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Austria Wien
2:2
01.02.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Austria Wien
0:2
Latest results of Austria Wien
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | LASK | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 29 |
| 7 | Altach | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Ried | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 25 |
| 10 | Tirol | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 20:33 | -13 | 17 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 17:32 | -15 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
