Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien, Austrian Bundesliga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Merkur-Arena (Graz).

Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 28
Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)
Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport Austria 1
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Germany	Sky Go Germany
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Serbia	Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 8
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Onefootball, Sport 2 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.75
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
61% (150/245)	77% (298/389)
Yellow Cards
6	4
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.73	1.55
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
11	5
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
10	8
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
20	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
21	8
Passes
61% (150/245)	77% (298/389)
Long passes
26% (14/54)	38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
45% (44/97)	73% (108/147)
Crosses
35% (8/23)	18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.27	0.71
Throw-ins
21	26
Fouls
8	21
Tackles
69% (11/16)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
65	46
Clearances
35	36
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.55	0.73
Goals prevented
0.47	0.73

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Grgic L. 🟨,
28', Boving W. 🟥,
29', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
29', Wuthrich G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Wiesinger P. 🟨,
62', Guenouche H. ↓, Perez Vinlof M. ↑,
68', Grgic L. 🟨,
68', Kiteishvili O. 🟨,
72', Horvat T. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
74', Ranftl R. 🟨,
75', Plavotic T. ↓, Handl J. ↑,
75', Fischer M. ↓, Gruber A. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Prelec N. ⚽,
84', Lavalee D. 🟨,
87', Chukwuani T. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
87', Johnston M. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
90', Perez Vinlof M. 🟨,
90+2', Prelec N. ↓, Aleksa K. ↑,
90+2', Barry A. ↓, Potzmann M. ↑,
90+9', Malone M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Sturm Graz
41.3%

Draw
29.5%

Austria Wien
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.

Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Sturm Graz - Austria Wien Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2)	3.21 ↓ (3.61)	3.26 ↓ (3.49)	5.4% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Austria Wien?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Austria will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 44.1% – 94.3%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sturm won 1.
Sturm is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Austria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Austria have a series of home games.
Sturm will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Jatta S. (Injury) Karic E. (Muscle Injury) Mayulu F. (Injury) Yalcouye M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Austria: El Sheiwi Z. (Knee Injury) Wustinger F. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Sturm: Geyrhofer N. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Austria: Handl J. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Sturm won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 35:27 (average 1.8:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Sturm won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.5:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Austria Wien?

Sturm Graz has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Austria Wien won against Sturm Graz?

Austria Wien has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Austria Wien were as follows:

23.04.2025 Austria Wien - Sturm Graz 2:1

07.02.2025 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 2:2

01.02.2025 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 0:2

25.09.2024 Austria Wien - Sturm Graz 2:2

02.02.2024 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 2:0

Latest results of Sturm Graz

23.04.2025 Austria Wien - Sturm Graz 2:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Sturm Graz - Blau-Weiss Linz 2:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 2:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Austria Wien

23.04.2025 Austria Wien - Sturm Graz 2:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Austria Wien - Red Bull Salzburg 1:3 ✺

13.04.2025 Rapid Wien - Austria Wien 2:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Austria Wien - Wolfsberger 0:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Austria Wien - Hartberg 0:1 ✺

Austrian Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tirol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Grazer AK	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Wolfsberger AC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Hartberg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Austria Vienna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	LASK	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	SK Rapid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Salzburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Ried	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Altach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Sturm Graz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	BW Linz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )