Result
0:1
27/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 28
- Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Austria | Sky Sport Austria 1 |
Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
Germany | Sky Go Germany |
Russia | TV Start Triumph |
Serbia | Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 8 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
Ukraine | Sport 2 |
World | Onefootball, Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 0.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
61% (150/245) | 77% (298/389) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
6 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 0.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.73 | 1.55 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 31 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
61% (150/245) | 77% (298/389) |
Long passes |
---|
26% (14/54) | 38% (22/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
45% (44/97) | 73% (108/147) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (8/23) | 18% (4/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.27 | 0.71 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 63% (10/16) |
Duels won |
---|
65 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
35 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.55 | 0.73 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.47 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Grgic L. 🟨,
- 28', Boving W. 🟥,
- 29', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
- 29', Wuthrich G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Wiesinger P. 🟨,
- 62', Guenouche H. ↓, Perez Vinlof M. ↑,
- 68', Grgic L. 🟨,
- 68', Kiteishvili O. 🟨,
- 72', Horvat T. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
- 74', Ranftl R. 🟨,
- 75', Plavotic T. ↓, Handl J. ↑,
- 75', Fischer M. ↓, Gruber A. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 1, Prelec N. ⚽,
- 84', Lavalee D. 🟨,
- 87', Chukwuani T. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
- 87', Johnston M. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 90', Perez Vinlof M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Prelec N. ↓, Aleksa K. ↑,
- 90+2', Barry A. ↓, Potzmann M. ↑,
- 90+9', Malone M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz 41.3% | Draw 29.5% | Austria Wien 29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Sturm Graz - Austria Wien Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.3 ↑ (2) |
3.21 ↓ (3.61) |
3.26 ↓ (3.49) |
5.4% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Austria Wien?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Austria will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sturm won 1.
- Sturm is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Austria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Austria have a series of home games.
- Sturm will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Jatta S.
(Injury)
Karic E.
(Muscle Injury)
Mayulu F.
(Injury)
Yalcouye M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Austria: El Sheiwi Z.
(Knee Injury)
Wustinger F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Geyrhofer N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Austria: Handl J.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Sturm won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 35:27 (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sturm won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Austria Wien?
Sturm Graz has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austria Wien won against Sturm Graz?
Austria Wien has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Austria Wien were as follows:
23.04.2025
Austria Wien
-
Sturm Graz
2:1
07.02.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Austria Wien
2:2
01.02.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Austria Wien
0:2
25.09.2024
Austria Wien
-
Sturm Graz
2:2
02.02.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Austria Wien
2:0
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Grazer AK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Hartberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Austria Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | LASK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | SK Rapid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | BW Linz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )