Result
2:0
04/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 17
- Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6, Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (369/451) | 83% (373/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (369/451) | 83% (373/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 63% (38/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (77/121) | 75% (80/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 2.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Mensah G. 🟨,
- 15', Balde M. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 33', 1 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽, Labeau Lascary R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Matondo R. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
- 68', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
- 70', Magnetti H. 🟨,
- 75', Del Castillo R. 🟨,
- 76', Casimir J. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
- 76', Mensah G. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
- 76', Mara S. ↓, Rodin R. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 0, Chotard J. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 83', Guindo D. 🟨,
- 86', Mboup P. ↓, Locko B. ↑,
- 86', Danois K. ↓, Devernois T. ↑,
- 90+2', Owusu E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brest
48.4% | Draw
28.5% | Auxerre
23.1% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Brest have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Auxerre have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Brest - Auxerre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.95) |
3.35 ↑
(3.32) |
4.11 ↑
(4.09) |
5.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Brest - Auxerre?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Auxerre (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Brest (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Brest (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Brest will win
(30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brest will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 8 - 80%). Auxerre (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Auxerre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Auxerre has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Brest is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Brest: Dina Ebimbe J.
(International duty)
Doumbia K.
(International duty)
Lala K.
(Knee Injury)
Le Cardinal J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Auxerre: Akpa C.
(Inactive)
Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
El Azzouzi O.
(Red Card)
Namaso D.
(International duty)
Sierralta F.
(Injury)
Sinayoko L.
(International duty)
Siwe T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brest won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Auxerre?
Brest has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Brest?
Auxerre has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Auxerre were as follows:
14.02.2025
Brest
-
Auxerre
2:2
27.09.2024
Auxerre
-
Brest
3:0
14.05.2023
Brest
-
Auxerre
1:0
02.10.2022
Auxerre
-
Brest
1:1
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52:19 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Lens | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Lyon | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:40 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
