Result
3:0
21/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 27
- Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (242/317) | 84% (333/397) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (242/317) | 84% (333/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (35/74) | 44% (19/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (53/81) | 70% (109/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Leon D. 🟥,
- 8', Oppegard F. ↓, De Percin T. ↑,
- 24', 1 - 0, Okoh B. ⚽, Faivre R. (A),
- 42', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tousart L. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 57', Dina Ebimbe J. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 0, Okoh B. ⚽, Faivre R. (A),
- 65', Faivre R. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
- 65', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 66', Chotard J. 🟨,
- 70', 3 - 0, Namaso D. ⚽, Mensah G. (A),
- 73', Mboup P. 🟨,
- 77', Guindo D. ↓, Locko B. ↑,
- 77', Chotard J. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 82', Coulibaly S. ↓, Le Guen R. ↑,
- 83', Namaso D. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
- 84', Mensah G. ↓, Akpa C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Auxerre
41.4% | Draw
30.7% | Brest
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Auxerre - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.38) |
3.1 ↓
(3.3) |
3.4 ↑
(2.99) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Brest?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Brest will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Auxerre (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Brest (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Auxerre (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 3 - 75%). Brest (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.
- Recent performances by Auxerre have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Brest is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Brest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Auxerre is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly L.
(Injury)
El Azzouzi O.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Brest: Ajorque L.
(Yellow Cards)
Chardonnet B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Auxerre: Devernois T.
(Injury)
Mensah G.
(Inactive)
Sy L.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Brest?
Auxerre has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Auxerre?
Brest has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Brest were as follows:
04.01.2026
Brest
-
Auxerre
2:0
14.02.2025
Brest
-
Auxerre
2:2
27.09.2024
Auxerre
-
Brest
3:0
14.05.2023
Brest
-
Auxerre
1:0
02.10.2022
Auxerre
-
Brest
1:1
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
| 4 | Marseille | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 49 |
| 5 | Monaco | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 49:39 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Lyon | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Rennes | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:40 | 7 | 47 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 39:35 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 33:44 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 23:36 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Nice | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:55 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 23 |
| 17 | Nantes | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 18 |
| 18 | Metz | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
