Nice vs Auxerre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
23/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 2
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 5
austriaAustriaDAZN
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.961.40
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
88% (415/471)79% (307/387)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.961.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.442.25
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
88% (415/471)79% (307/387)
Long passes
55% (17/31)30% (16/54)
Passes in final third
75% (83/110)62% (58/94)
Crosses
26% (5/19)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.82
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1015
Tackles
45% (5/11)33% (6/18)
Duels won
5747
Clearances
2221
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
2.252.44
Goals prevented
1.250.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Boga J. , Louchet T. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 1, Sinayoko L. , Osman I. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 1, Akpa C. (Own goal),
  • 34', Jansson I. 🟨,
  • 41', Sierralta F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Leon D. 🟥,
  • 45+5', Osho G. , De Percin T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Senaya M. 🟨,
  • 60', Peprah K. 🟨,
  • 62', Osman I. , Danny Namaso ,
  • 63', Abdul Samed S. , Rosario P. ,
  • 63', Jansson I. , Diop S. ,
  • 73', Kevin , Moffi T. ,
  • 73', Boga J. , Bouanani B. ,
  • 73', Mensah G. , Oppegard F. ,
  • 73', Sinayoko L. , Coulibaly L. ,
  • 73', Senaya M. , Sy L. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Moffi T. , Louchet T. (A),
  • 90+1', Louchet T. , Koutoune H. ,

Chances of winning


Nice
55.9%
Draw
24.3%
Auxerre
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 23.4% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 24.3% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Nice - Auxerre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.64)
    4.06
    (4)
    5.07
    (4.85)
    2.3%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nice - Auxerre?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Auxerre will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 40.8%77.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Auxerre (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Auxerre (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.
    • Recent form of Nice has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Auxerre has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Nice is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Abdi A. (Hernia) Bombito M. (Injury) Cho M. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury) Sanson M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Diomande S. (Thigh Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Injury) Siwe T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Clauss J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Auxerre: Casimir J. (Inactive) Osho G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Auxerre were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Nice - Auxerre 1:1
    18.08.2024 Auxerre - Nice 2:1
    06.01.2024 Nice - Auxerre 1:0
    03.03.2023 Nice - Auxerre 1:1
    16.10.2022 Auxerre - Nice 1:1
    Latest results of Nice
    16.08.2025 Nice - Toulouse 0:1
    12.08.2025 Benfica - Nice 2:0
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    30.07.2025 Nice - Sheffield United 3:2
    26.07.2025 St. Pauli - Nice 2:0
    Latest results of Auxerre
    17.08.2025 Auxerre - Lorient 1:0
    09.08.2025 Auxerre - Levante 0:2
    02.08.2025 Auxerre - Ipswich Town 0:3
    30.07.2025 Grenoble - Auxerre 0:0
    26.07.2025 Clermont - Auxerre 2:3
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 30223568:254369
    2Lens30203760:322863
    3Lyon31176848:321657
    4Lille31176850:341657
    5Rennes31168754:421256
    6Marseille311651059:411853
    7Monaco311561054:47751
    8Strasbourg301371049:391046
    9Lorient3110111042:47-541
    10Toulouse311081343:44-138
    11Brest301081241:47-638
    12Paris FC319111140:47-738
    13Angers31971526:43-1734
    14Le Havre316131229:42-1331
    15Nice31791535:57-2230
    16Auxerre315101627:42-1525
    17Nantes31481926:51-2520
    18Metz31372131:70-3916

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