Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
01/11/2025 at 16:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 11
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max, Sky Sport MIX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.54
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
86% (387/451)88% (422/477)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.26
Total shots
96
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1410
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
86% (387/451)88% (422/477)
Long passes
58% (28/48)48% (19/40)
Passes in final third
71% (84/118)68% (50/73)
Crosses
12% (2/17)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.42
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1214
Tackles
50% (5/10)33% (5/15)
Duels won
4839
Clearances
815
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.260.84
Goals prevented
-0.750.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Gomes A. ,
  • 36', Emerson 🟨,
  • 39', O'Riley M. 🟨,
  • 43', Coulibaly L. , Osman I. ,
  • 45+3', Vaz R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Vaz R. , Paixao I. ,
  • 63', Gomes A. , Vermeeren A. ,
  • 65', Garcia U. 🟥,
  • 69', Casimir J. , Oppegard F. ,
  • 69', Mensah G. , Mara S. ,
  • 78', Aubameyang P. , Lirola P. ,
  • 80', Diomande S. 🟨,
  • 84', Senaya M. , Sy L. ,
  • 84', Owusu E. , Matondo R. ,
  • 87', Danny Namaso 🟨,
  • 90+3', Diomande S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Auxerre
18.1%
Draw
24.9%
Olympique Marseille
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 24.3% 54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21% 23.9% 55.2%

Auxerre - Olympique Marseille Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.28
(4.49)
3.85
(3.94)
1.68
(1.76)
4.5%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Olympique Marseille?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Marseille (2.65) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (61 of 68 users predict this - 89.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.49%96.93%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.
    • Auxerre is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Marseille has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Marseille is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Injury) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Muscle Injury) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Nadir B. (Head Injury) Weah T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Auxerre: Matondo R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 3:0
    08.11.2024 Olympique Marseille - Auxerre 1:3
    03.09.2022 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 0:2
    Latest results of Auxerre
    29.10.2025 Strasbourg - Auxerre 3:0
    26.10.2025 Auxerre - Le Havre 0:1
    19.10.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 2:2
    04.10.2025 Auxerre - Lens 1:2
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1573521:16524
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Toulouse1555521:19220
    10Brest1554620:24-419
    11Angers1554613:17-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Lorient1545619:28-917
    14Paris FC1544721:26-516
    15Le Havre1536613:21-815
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1525813:24-1111
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2