Result
1:0
13/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 26
- Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Caze TV |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Mexico | FOX One |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Romania | Voyo |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 8 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 4, Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
South-africa | SuperSport Variety 3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (450/517) | 80% (305/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (450/517) | 80% (305/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (11/32) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (119/163) | 63% (50/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/24) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Medina F. 🟨,
- 37', Egan-Riley C. 🟨,
- 45', Okoh B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Egan-Riley C. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
- 63', Kondogbia G. ↓, Emerson ↑,
- 67', Mara S. ↓, Faivre R. ↑,
- 67', Sy L. ↓, Senaya M. ↑,
- 75', Casimir J. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
- 78', Paixao I. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 0, Gouiri A. ⚽,
- 88', Okoh B. ↓, Rodin R. ↑,
- 90+1', Timber Q. 🟨,
- 90+3', Greenwood M. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
- 90+3', Aubameyang P. ↓, Nnadi T. ↑,
- 90+5', Diomande S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Paixao I. ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille 66% | Draw 20.9% | Auxerre 13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Olympique Marseille - Auxerre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↓ (1.48) |
4.55 ↑ (4.5) |
7.28 ↑ (6.31) |
5.2% (5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Auxerre?
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 50 - 87.7%). Auxerre will win (votes: 3 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 79.2% – 96.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Marseille (1.67) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Auxerre (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 23 - 95.8%). Auxerre (votes: 1 - 4.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marseille is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Sinayoko L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Nadir B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Auxerre: Coulibaly L.
(Injury)
El Azzouzi O.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Auxerre?
Olympique Marseille has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Olympique Marseille?
Auxerre has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Auxerre were as follows:
01.11.2025
Auxerre
-
Olympique Marseille
0:1
22.02.2025
Auxerre
-
Olympique Marseille
3:0
08.11.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Auxerre
1:3
03.09.2022
Auxerre
-
Olympique Marseille
0:2
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2