Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/11/2025 at 16:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre).

Ligue 1 - Round 11
Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	0.54
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
9	6
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
86% (387/451)	88% (422/477)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.84	0.26
Total shots
9	6
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
2	0
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
0	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
14	10
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
14	12
Passes
86% (387/451)	88% (422/477)
Long passes
58% (28/48)	48% (19/40)
Passes in final third
71% (84/118)	68% (50/73)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	0.42
Throw-ins
17	17
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
50% (5/10)	33% (5/15)
Duels won
48	39
Clearances
8	15
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.26	0.84
Goals prevented
-0.75	0.84

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Gomes A. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Gomes A. ⚽,
36', Emerson 🟨,
39', O'Riley M. 🟨,
43', Coulibaly L. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
45+3', Vaz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Vaz R. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
63', Gomes A. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
65', Garcia U. 🟥,
69', Casimir J. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
69', Mensah G. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
78', Aubameyang P. ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
80', Diomande S. 🟨,
84', Senaya M. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
84', Owusu E. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
87', Danny Namaso 🟨,
90+3', Diomande S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Auxerre
18.1%

Draw
24.9%

Olympique Marseille
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

24.3%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

23.9%

55.2%

Auxerre - Olympique Marseille Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (4.49)	3.85 ↓ (3.94)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)	4.5% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Auxerre - Olympique Marseille?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.5 - Marseille (2.65) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH +0.75 - Auxerre (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Marseille (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Marseille (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (61 of 68 users predict this - 89.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.49% – 96.93%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 3.7%). Marseille (votes: 26 - 96.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.
Auxerre is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Marseille has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Marseille is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Injury) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Muscle Injury) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Nadir B. (Head Injury) Weah T. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Auxerre: Matondo R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Marseille: Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Olympique Marseille?

Auxerre has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Auxerre?

Olympique Marseille has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Olympique Marseille were as follows:

22.02.2025 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 3:0

08.11.2024 Olympique Marseille - Auxerre 1:3

03.09.2022 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 0:2

Latest results of Auxerre

29.10.2025 Strasbourg - Auxerre 3:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Auxerre - Le Havre 0:1 ✺

19.10.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 2:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Auxerre - Lens 1:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Olympique Marseille

29.10.2025 Olympique Marseille - Angers 2:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Lens - Olympique Marseille 2:1 ✺

22.10.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Olympique Marseille 2:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Olympique Marseille - Le Havre 6:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Metz - Olympique Marseille 0:3 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lens	18	14	1	3	32:13	19	43
2	PSG	18	13	3	2	40:15	25	42
3	Marseille	18	11	2	5	41:19	22	35
4	Lyon	18	10	3	5	27:18	9	33
5	Lille	18	10	2	6	33:25	8	32
6	Rennes	18	8	7	3	30:25	5	31
7	Strasbourg	18	8	3	7	28:22	6	27
8	Toulouse	18	7	5	6	29:23	6	26
9	Monaco	18	7	2	9	28:33	-5	23
10	Brest	18	6	4	8	24:29	-5	22
11	Angers	18	6	4	8	20:25	-5	22
12	Lorient	18	5	7	6	23:30	-7	22
13	Paris FC	18	5	4	9	24:32	-8	19
14	Le Havre	18	4	7	7	16:24	-8	19
15	Nice	18	5	3	10	21:35	-14	18
16	Nantes	18	3	5	10	17:30	-13	14
17	Auxerre	18	3	3	12	14:28	-14	12
18	Metz	18	3	3	12	19:40	-21	12

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2