Thonon Évian vs Auxerre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Seconde Ligue Women - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Thonon Évian
28.7%
Draw
27.5%
Auxerre
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 26.6% 48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 26.1% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thonon Évian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thonon Évian than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auxerre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Thonon Évian - Auxerre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (3.66)
    3.39
    (3.5)
    2.12
    (1.94)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women).
    • Recent form of Thonon Évian has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Auxerre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Auxerre could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Thonon Évian won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Thonon Évian - Auxerre were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Auxerre - Thonon Évian 2:1
    Latest results of Thonon Évian
    22.02.2026 Le Mans - Thonon Évian 1:0
    15.02.2026 Thonon Évian - Grenoble 1:2
    08.02.2026 Lille - Thonon Évian 1:1
    18.01.2026 Thonon Évian - Reims 2:2
    Latest results of Auxerre
    21.02.2026 Auxerre - Reims 1:2
    15.02.2026 Saint-Malo - Auxerre 0:3
    08.02.2026 Auxerre - Toulouse 1:2
    01.02.2026 Nice - Auxerre 2:2
    17.01.2026 Auxerre - Metz 2:1
    French Division 2 Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toulouse W16131237:112640
    2Auxerre W1692524:16829
    3Le Mans W1691618:14428
    4Lille W1683524:17727
    5Saint-Malo W1682626:25126
    6Grenoble W1673620:18224
    7Thonon Evian W1663723:20321
    8Nice W1654719:22-319
    9Reims W1654718:27-919
    10Rodez AF W1651109:23-1416
    11Metz W1643917:26-915
    12Guingamp W16231113:29-169

          Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women
          Relegation