Charlotte Independence vs AV Alta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
10/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.68
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
81% (288/356)88% (478/546)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.68
xG on target (xGOT)
2.220.89
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3618
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
81% (288/356)88% (478/546)
Long passes
55% (27/49)49% (34/69)
Passes in final third
70% (90/128)73% (126/172)
Crosses
27% (6/22)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.441.07
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
1416
Tackles
86% (12/14)90% (9/10)
Duels won
5036
Clearances
2228
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.892.22
Goals prevented
-1.11-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', Lay O. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Bakero J. , Moreno J. (A),
  • 29', Alassane M. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Chaney C. , Bakero J. (A),
  • 40', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Desdunes J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Cruz S. , Ortiz C. ,
  • 58', 2 - 2, Ortiz C. ,
  • 61', Pajaro M. 🟨,
  • 69', Martinez W. , Mariona J. ,
  • 79', Moreno J. , Marou S. ,
  • 79', Jaime C. , Ngah F. ,
  • 82', Lay O. , Ceja E. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Marou S. , Chaney C. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Charlotte Independence
51.8%
Draw
24.9%
AV Alta
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 22.9% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 22.2% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Charlotte Independence - AV Alta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.68)
    3.71
    (3.97)
    3.96
    (3.94)
    8.4%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Charlotte Ind is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Charlotte Ind won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - AV Alta were as follows:
    24.05.2025 AV Alta - Charlotte Independence 2:1
    Latest results of AV Alta
    04.10.2025 Texoma - AV Alta 1:1
    27.09.2025 Naples - AV Alta 4:0
    13.09.2025 AV Alta - One Knoxville 1:2
    06.09.2025 AV Alta - Forward Madison 3:3
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples32105:237
    2Spokane Velocity22004:136
    3Portland Hearts of Pine21103:124
    4Chattanooga Red Wolves11002:113
    5Forward Madison11002:113
    6One Knoxville21014:403
    7Union Omaha21013:303
    8Boise21013:303
    9AV Alta20201:102
    10Corpus Christi FC10102:201
    11Charlotte Independ10101:101
    12Westchester SC20113:4-11
    13Sarasota Paradise20112:3-11
    14Richmond Kickers20111:2-11
    15Fort Wayne20112:4-21
    16Greenville10011:2-10
    17New York Cosmos20022:6-40

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)