Charlotte Independence vs AV Alta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Charlotte Independence - AV Alta
Result
3:2
10/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.68
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
81% (288/356)88% (478/546)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.68
xG on target (xGOT)
2.220.89
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3618
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
81% (288/356)88% (478/546)
Long passes
55% (27/49)49% (34/69)
Passes in final third
70% (90/128)73% (126/172)
Crosses
27% (6/22)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.441.07
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
1416
Tackles
86% (12/14)90% (9/10)
Duels won
5036
Clearances
2228
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.892.22
Goals prevented
-1.11-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', Lay O. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Bakero J. , Moreno J. (A),
  • 29', Alassane M. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Chaney C. , Bakero J. (A),
  • 40', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Desdunes J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Cruz S. , Ortiz C. ,
  • 58', 2 - 2, Ortiz C. ,
  • 61', Pajaro M. 🟨,
  • 69', Martinez W. , Mariona J. ,
  • 79', Moreno J. , Marou S. ,
  • 79', Jaime C. , Ngah F. ,
  • 82', Lay O. , Ceja E. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Marou S. , Chaney C. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Charlotte Independence
51.8%
Draw
24.9%
AV Alta
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 22.9% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 22.2% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Charlotte Independence - AV Alta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.68)
    3.71
    (3.97)
    3.96
    (3.94)
    8.4%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Charlotte Ind is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Charlotte Ind won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - AV Alta were as follows:
    24.05.2025 AV Alta - Charlotte Independence 2:1
    Latest results of AV Alta
    04.10.2025 Texoma - AV Alta 1:1
    27.09.2025 Naples - AV Alta 4:0
    13.09.2025 AV Alta - One Knoxville 1:2
    06.09.2025 AV Alta - Forward Madison 3:3
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1One Knoxville30169543:261757
    2Chattanooga Red Wolves301510542:301255
    3Spokane Velocity30149741:35651
    4FC Naples30138940:32847
    5Union Omaha301371051:391246
    6Tormenta301361155:47845
    7Portland Hearts of Pine301112748:381045
    8Charlotte Independ301071345:50-537
    9AV Alta308121042:47-536
    10Forward Madison308111131:43-1235
    11Greenville30881438:43-532
    12Texoma30791435:55-2030
    13Richmond Kickers30851743:53-1029
    14Westchester SC30591643:59-1624

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