AV Alta vs Chattanooga Red Wolves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One AV Alta - Chattanooga Red Wolves
Result
3:2
12/04/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.342.49
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
84% (422/502)62% (134/217)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.342.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.082.17
Total shots
810
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1530
Through passes
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
810
Passes
84% (422/502)62% (134/217)
Long passes
40% (23/58)27% (16/60)
Passes in final third
67% (51/76)46% (44/96)
Crosses
20% (1/5)45% (10/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.472.36
Fouls
108
Tackles
71% (12/17)75% (12/16)
Duels won
6657
Clearances Total
3820
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.172.08
Goals prevented
-0.44-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', Avilez C. 🟨,
  • 4', 0 - 1, Bentley M. (Pen),
  • 12', 1 - 1, Villalobos J. , Cruz S. (A),
  • 15', Alassane M. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Villalobos J. ,
  • 39', Alaribe E. 🟨,
  • 42', Knapp M. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Ayimbila J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Vazquez Z. , Hernandez P. ,
  • 61', Hernandez O. , Alhassan A. ,
  • 69', Alaribe E. , Blancas E. ,
  • 71', Knapp M. , Gomez O. ,
  • 75', Villalobos J. , Acuna J. ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Bentley M. , Ramos J. (A),
  • 86', 3 - 2, Acuna J. (Pen),
  • 87', Lay O. , Ceja E. ,
  • 87', Ramos J. , Green O. ,
  • 88', Martinez W. , Apollon A. ,

Chances of winning


AV Alta
56%
Draw
25%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 24.5% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1% 25.9% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AV Alta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • AV Alta - Chattanooga Red Wolves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.56)
    3.66
    (3.74)
    4.82
    (5.47)
    9.2%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Alta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Chattanooga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Chattanooga have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Alta is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of AV Alta
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spokane Velocity1685322:15729
    2Chattanooga Red Wolves1576223:15827
    3Charlotte Independ1776427:22527
    4AV Alta1675427:21626
    5One Knoxville1466221:14724
    6FC Naples1665522:20223
    7Texoma1655620:26-620
    8Portland Hearts of Pine1548318:16220
    9Greenville1754821:23-219
    10Richmond Kickers1644824:28-416
    11Forward Madison1537514:17-316
    12Tormenta1643920:29-915
    13Westchester SC1536624:30-615
    14Union Omaha1442817:24-714

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