Texoma vs AV Alta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Texoma - AV Alta
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.65
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
80% (358/449)71% (243/341)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.920.19
Total shots
911
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1424
Passes
80% (358/449)71% (243/341)
Long passes
58% (56/96)27% (20/73)
Passes in final third
62% (82/132)43% (46/106)
Crosses
13% (2/16)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.86
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
2414
Tackles
90% (19/21)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4955
Clearances
2933
Interceptions
16
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.191.92
Goals prevented
-0.810.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Cruz S. 🟨,
  • 34', McManus B. 🟨,
  • 41', Spengler P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 68', Jordan J. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Spengler P. (Pen),
  • 88', Perkins W. 🟨,
  • 89', Ramos O. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Cerritos A. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Texoma
32.7%
Draw
26.5%
AV Alta
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 26.8% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 25.1% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Texoma - AV Alta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.62)
    3.43
    (3.37)
    2.24
    (2.32)
    9.8%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Texoma is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Alta is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Texoma has had a series of away games.
    • Alta could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Texoma won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Texoma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Texoma - AV Alta were as follows:
    20.08.2025 Texoma - AV Alta 3:3
    10.05.2025 AV Alta - Texoma 0:0
    Latest results of Texoma
    21.09.2025 Westchester SC - Texoma 2:1
    13.09.2025 Texoma - Spokane Velocity 3:3
    06.09.2025 Union Omaha - Texoma 5:0
    27.08.2025 Forward Madison - Texoma 3:0
    Latest results of AV Alta
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ 271310437:261149
    2One Knoxville ✔ 27139537:241348
    3Spokane Velocity ✔ 26137636:261046
    4FC Naples ✔ 26128637:271044
    5Portland Hearts of Pine261010637:30740
    6Union Omaha261151043:36738
    7Tormenta271151147:45238
    8Charlotte Independ27971141:44-334
    9Forward Madison27711928:33-532
    10AV Alta27711936:42-632
    11Greenville27871237:38-131
    12Texoma27691233:50-1727
    13Richmond Kickers27751538:49-1126
    14Westchester SC27481538:55-1720

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )