AV Alta vs Union Omaha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One AV Alta - Union Omaha
Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.831.94
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
89% (488/551)85% (334/395)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.831.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.901.46
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
114
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1722
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
89% (488/551)85% (334/395)
Long passes
62% (38/61)46% (16/35)
Passes in final third
79% (91/115)66% (68/103)
Crosses
25% (2/8)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.92
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1010
Tackles
86% (6/7)77% (17/22)
Duels won
4357
Clearances
2915
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.460.90
Goals prevented
0.46-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', Gallardo J. 🟨,
  • 16', Alassane M. 🟨,
  • 19', Becher R. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Becher R. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Martinez W. , Villalobos J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Botello Faz P. , Ors S. ,
  • 46', Jiba R. , Wootton L. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Mastrantonio L. , Martinez W. (A),
  • 61', Gallardo J. , Kasim P. ,
  • 62', Alaribe E. , Blancas E. ,
  • 62', Martinez W. , Desdunes J. ,
  • 67', Villalobos J. , Huerta A. ,
  • 67', Aoumaich A. , Mariona J. ,
  • 76', Robledo H. , Lay O. ,
  • 76', Schneider M. 🟨,
  • 81', Becher R. , Bronnik M. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


AV Alta
35.6%
Draw
27.2%
Union Omaha
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 27% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 26.9% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • AV Alta - Union Omaha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.32)
    3.32
    (3.37)
    2.43
    (2.69)
    10.8%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Alta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Union Omaha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Union Omaha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of AV Alta
    Latest results of Union Omaha
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spokane Velocity1795324:16832
    2Chattanooga Red Wolves1686226:161030
    3Charlotte Independ1877430:25528
    4One Knoxville1576222:14827
    5AV Alta1776427:21627
    6FC Naples1775524:21326
    7Texoma1756623:29-621
    8Greenville1855823:25-220
    9Portland Hearts of Pine1648418:17120
    10Forward Madison1638514:17-317
    11Richmond Kickers1744925:30-516
    12Tormenta1744922:31-916
    13Westchester SC1636725:33-815
    14Union Omaha1542918:26-814

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )