Athletico Paranaense vs Avaí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 32
  • Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, RedeTV!

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.48
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
84% (401/479)77% (314/409)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.731.76
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
99
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
711
Passes
84% (401/479)77% (314/409)
Long passes
50% (21/42)44% (29/66)
Passes in final third
72% (127/176)54% (36/67)
Crosses
14% (5/36)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.56
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
117
Tackles
90% (9/10)78% (14/18)
Duels won
3149
Clearances
1439
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
48
xGOT faced
1.761.73
Goals prevented
0.760.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', DG 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Joao Vitor , Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Aguirre Tabares J. F. , Julimar ,
  • 46', Luiz Fernando , Mendoza S. ,
  • 50', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Julimar (Pen),
  • 63', Marcos Vinicius , Railan ,
  • 63', DG , Gaspar ,
  • 73', Leozinho , Joao Cruz ,
  • 75', Cesar Augusto 🟨,
  • 76', JP , Hygor ,
  • 86', Cleber , Thayllon ,
  • 90+1', Dudu Kogitzki , Alan Kardec ,
  • 90+6', Teran C. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
58.6%
Draw
25.7%
Avaí
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 24.9% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 23.6% 16%

Athletico Paranaense - Avaí Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.6
(1.58)
3.64
(3.7)
5.93
(5.5)
6.9%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Avaí?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3.
    • In recent matches, Athletico PR has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Avaí is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L. (Hamstring Injury) Isaac (Inactive) Teran C. (Inactive) Velasco K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Avaí: Alef Manga (Inactive) Andrey (Injury) Emerson Negueba (Yellow Cards) Igor Bohn (Injury) Quaresma (Ankle Injury) Romildo Del Piage (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Avaí were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Avaí - Athletico Paranaense 1:2
    11.09.2022 Avaí - Athletico Paranaense 1:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Avaí
    08.10.2025 Avaí - Volta Redonda 3:0
    03.10.2025 CRB Maceio - Avaí 1:0
    29.09.2025 Avaí - Coritiba 0:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba381911839:231668
    2Athletico-PR381981153:431065
    3Chapecoense-SC381881252:351762
    4Remo381614851:391262
    5Criciuma3817101147:331461
    6Goias3817101142:37561
    7Novorizontino381515843:321160
    8CRB381681445:40556
    9Avai3814141050:401056
    10Cuiaba3814121243:44-154
    11Atletico GO3813131239:38152
    12Operario-PR3812121440:44-448
    13Vila Nova FC3811141340:44-447
    14America MG3812101641:44-346
    15Athletic Club381281843:53-1044
    16Botafogo SP3810121632:52-2042
    17Ferroviaria388161443:52-940
    18Amazonas388121838:55-1736
    19Volta Redonda388121826:43-1736
    20Paysandu PA385132036:52-1628

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