Result
1:2
21/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie B Superbet - Round 13
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.53 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
71% | 29% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
82% (447/547) | 62% (135/217) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.53 | 0.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.71 | 0.73 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
82% (447/547) | 62% (135/217) |
Long passes |
---|
35% (22/62) | 40% (26/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (85/133) | 53% (48/91) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (5/22) | 27% (4/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.08 | 0.73 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
89% (16/18) | 41% (7/17) |
Duels won |
---|
63 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 47 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.73 | 0.71 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.27 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Joao Cruz 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Esquivel L. (A),
- 38', Cleber 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Joao Cruz ↓, Raul ↑,
- 65', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 65', Emerson Negueba ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 67', Railan ↓, JP ↑,
- 70', Giuliano ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 70', Alan Kardec ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Renan Peixoto ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 2, Marquinhos Gabriel ⚽,
- 79', Cleber ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 80', Mendes ↓, Gaspar ↑,
- 81', Luiz Fernando ↓, Tevis ↑,
- 86', Thayllon 🟨,
- 90', Esquivel L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avaí 37.1% | Draw 31.5% | Athletico Paranaense 31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Avaí - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.5 ↑ (2.15) |
2.99 ↓ (3.25) |
3 ↓ (3.2) |
6.8% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avaí - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 0.
- Avaí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Athletico PR is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Athletico PR has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Avaí: Eduardo Brock
(Yellow Cards)
Jonathan Costa
(Inactive)
Quaresma
(Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac
(Inactive)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Palacios H.
(Inactive)
Velasco K.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Renan
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Athletico Paranaense?
Avaí has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Avaí?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
11.09.2022
Avaí
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 29 |
2 | Coritiba | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 13:6 | 7 | 27 |
3 | Novorizontino | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
4 | Avai | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
5 | Remo | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 23 |
6 | CRB | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Cuiaba | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 21 |
8 | America MG | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 |
10 | Chapecoense-SC | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
11 | Vila Nova FC | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Atletico GO | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
13 | Ferroviaria | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
14 | Operario-PR | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
15 | Criciuma | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
16 | Botafogo SP | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 16 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
18 | Amazonas | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 14 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9:15 | -6 | 13 |
20 | Athletic Club | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 13:23 | -10 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Avaí - Athletico Paranaense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |