Result
1:1
14/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 32
- Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, RedeTV! |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (401/479) | 77% (314/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (401/479) | 77% (314/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 44% (29/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (127/176) | 54% (36/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/36) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', DG 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Joao Vitor ⚽, Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Aguirre Tabares J. F. ↓, Julimar ↑,
- 46', Luiz Fernando ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,
- 50', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 1, Julimar (Pen),
- 63', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Railan ↑,
- 63', DG ↓, Gaspar ↑,
- 73', Leozinho ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 75', Cesar Augusto 🟨,
- 76', JP ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 86', Cleber ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 90+1', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
- 90+6', Teran C. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
58.6% | Draw
25.7% | Avaí
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Athletico Paranaense - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.58) |
3.64 ↓
(3.7) |
5.93 ↑
(5.5) |
6.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Avaí?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3.
- In recent matches, Athletico PR has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Avaí is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletico PR is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Isaac
(Inactive)
Teran C.
(Inactive)
Velasco K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Avaí: Alef Manga
(Inactive)
Andrey
(Injury)
Emerson Negueba
(Yellow Cards)
Igor Bohn
(Injury)
Quaresma
(Ankle Injury)
Romildo Del Piage
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Avaí?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Athletico Paranaense?
Avaí has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Avaí were as follows:
21.06.2025
Avaí
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:2
11.09.2022
Avaí
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Avai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ceara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Goias | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Nautico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | CRB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Criciuma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Juventude | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Ponte Preta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Fortaleza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | America MG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Londrina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sao Bernardo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Operario-PR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Novorizontino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Athletic Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
