Athletico Paranaense vs Avaí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Avaí
Result
1:1
14/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 32
  • Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, RedeTV!

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.48
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
84% (401/479)77% (314/409)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.731.76
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
99
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
711
Passes
84% (401/479)77% (314/409)
Long passes
50% (21/42)44% (29/66)
Passes in final third
72% (127/176)54% (36/67)
Crosses
14% (5/36)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.56
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
117
Tackles
90% (9/10)78% (14/18)
Duels won
3149
Clearances
1439
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
48
xGOT faced
1.761.73
Goals prevented
0.760.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', DG 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Joao Vitor , Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Aguirre Tabares J. F. , Julimar ,
  • 46', Luiz Fernando , Mendoza S. ,
  • 50', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Julimar (Pen),
  • 63', Marcos Vinicius , Railan ,
  • 63', DG , Gaspar ,
  • 73', Leozinho , Joao Cruz ,
  • 75', Cesar Augusto 🟨,
  • 76', JP , Hygor ,
  • 86', Cleber , Thayllon ,
  • 90+1', Dudu Kogitzki , Alan Kardec ,
  • 90+6', Teran C. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
58.6%
Draw
25.7%
Avaí
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 24.9% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 23.6% 16%

Athletico Paranaense - Avaí Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.6
(1.58)
3.64
(3.7)
5.93
(5.5)
6.9%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Avaí?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3.
    • In recent matches, Athletico PR has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Avaí is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L. (Hamstring Injury) Isaac (Inactive) Teran C. (Inactive) Velasco K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Avaí: Alef Manga (Inactive) Andrey (Injury) Emerson Negueba (Yellow Cards) Igor Bohn (Injury) Quaresma (Ankle Injury) Romildo Del Piage (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Avaí were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Avaí - Athletico Paranaense 1:2
    11.09.2022 Avaí - Athletico Paranaense 1:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Avaí
    08.10.2025 Avaí - Volta Redonda 3:0
    03.10.2025 CRB Maceio - Avaí 1:0
    29.09.2025 Avaí - Coritiba 0:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba361810837:221564
    2Athletico-PR361781150:42859
    3Remo361514747:351259
    4Chapecoense-SC351771150:331758
    5Criciuma3616101045:321358
    6Goias3616101040:34658
    7Novorizontino361415740:31957
    8CRB361581343:37653
    9Avai3613131047:39852
    10Atletico GO3613121139:37251
    11Cuiaba3613111241:43-250
    12Vila Nova FC3611131238:40-246
    13Operario-PR3611111438:43-544
    14America MG351191539:42-342
    15Athletic Club361171841:52-1140
    16Ferroviaria368161241:48-740
    17Botafogo SP359111531:50-1938
    18Amazonas358111635:50-1535
    19Volta Redonda368101823:40-1734
    20Paysandu PA ✔ 365121933:48-1527

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Paysandu PA is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )