Result
1:2
21/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 13
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.53 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
71% | 29% |
Total shots |
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14 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
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82% (447/547) | 62% (135/217) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.53 | 0.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.71 | 0.73 |
Total shots |
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14 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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8 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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19 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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18 | 11 |
Passes |
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82% (447/547) | 62% (135/217) |
Long passes |
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35% (22/62) | 40% (26/65) |
Passes in final third |
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64% (85/133) | 53% (48/91) |
Crosses |
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23% (5/22) | 27% (4/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.08 | 0.73 |
Throw-ins |
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28 | 25 |
Fouls |
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11 | 18 |
Tackles |
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89% (16/18) | 41% (7/17) |
Duels won |
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63 | 58 |
Clearances |
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23 | 47 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.73 | 0.71 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.27 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Joao Cruz 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Esquivel L. (A),
- 38', Cleber 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Joao Cruz ↓, Raul ↑,
- 65', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 65', Emerson Negueba ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 67', Railan ↓, JP ↑,
- 70', Giuliano ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 70', Alan Kardec ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Renan Peixoto ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 2, Marquinhos Gabriel ⚽,
- 79', Cleber ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 80', Mendes ↓, Gaspar ↑,
- 81', Luiz Fernando ↓, Tevis ↑,
- 86', Thayllon 🟨,
- 90', Esquivel L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avaí 37.1% | Draw 31.5% | Athletico Paranaense 31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Avaí - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.5 ↑ (2.15) |
2.99 ↓ (3.25) |
3 ↓ (3.2) |
6.8% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avaí - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 0.
- Avaí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Athletico PR is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Athletico PR has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Avaí: Eduardo Brock
(Yellow Cards)
Jonathan Costa
(Inactive)
Quaresma
(Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac
(Inactive)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Palacios H.
(Inactive)
Velasco K.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Renan
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Athletico Paranaense?
Avaí has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Avaí?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
11.09.2022
Avaí
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
2 | Coritiba | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 33 |
3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
8 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 24 |
9 | Athletico-PR | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
11 | CRB | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
12 | Atletico GO | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
14 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
15 | Operario-PR | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
16 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Ferroviaria | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )