Avaí vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Avaí - Athletico Paranaense
Result
1:2
21/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 13
  • Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.530.47
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
82% (447/547)62% (135/217)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.530.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.710.73
Total shots
149
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1911
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
82% (447/547)62% (135/217)
Long passes
35% (22/62)40% (26/65)
Passes in final third
64% (85/133)53% (48/91)
Crosses
23% (5/22)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.73
Throw-ins
2825
Fouls
1118
Tackles
89% (16/18)41% (7/17)
Duels won
6358
Clearances
2347
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.730.71
Goals prevented
-1.27-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Joao Cruz 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando , Esquivel L. (A),
  • 38', Cleber 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Joao Cruz , Raul ,
  • 65', Gustavo Barreto , Alef Manga ,
  • 65', Emerson Negueba , Thayllon ,
  • 67', Railan , JP ,
  • 70', Giuliano , Zapelli B. ,
  • 70', Alan Kardec , Renan Peixoto ,
  • 76', 0 - 2, Renan Peixoto ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Marquinhos Gabriel ,
  • 79', Cleber , Hygor ,
  • 80', Mendes , Gaspar ,
  • 81', Luiz Fernando , Tevis ,
  • 86', Thayllon 🟨,
  • 90', Esquivel L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Avaí
37.1%
Draw
31.5%
Athletico Paranaense
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 28.4% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 29% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.
  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Avaí - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.15)
    2.99
    (3.25)
    3
    (3.2)
    6.8%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Avaí - Athletico Paranaense?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 0.
    • Avaí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Athletico PR is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Athletico PR has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Avaí: Eduardo Brock (Yellow Cards) Jonathan Costa (Inactive) Quaresma (Injury) Ze Ricardo (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Inactive) Julimar (Knee Injury) Palacios H. (Inactive) Velasco K. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Renan (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
    11.09.2022 Avaí - Athletico Paranaense 1:1
    Latest results of Avaí
    17.06.2025 Volta Redonda - Avaí 1:1
    07.06.2025 Avaí - CRB Maceio 1:0
    31.05.2025 Coritiba - Avaí 2:1
    24.05.2025 Avaí - Chapecoense 2:1
    15.05.2025 Ferroviária - Avaí 1:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias17113323:131036
    2Coritiba17103418:11733
    3Novorizontino1787222:121031
    4Chapecoense-SC1782721:16526
    5Remo1768319:15426
    6Cuiaba1774619:20-125
    7Avai1767420:18225
    8Vila Nova FC1773715:16-124
    9Athletico-PR1772821:23-223
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11CRB1764716:16022
    12Atletico GO1757518:17122
    13Athletic Club17701020:24-421
    14America MG1762917:21-420
    15Operario-PR1754818:20-219
    16Paysandu PA1746716:19-318
    17Ferroviaria1746717:21-418
    18Volta Redonda1746710:16-618
    19Botafogo SP1746712:20-818
    20Amazonas1745816:23-717

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