Result
1:2
21/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 13
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (447/547) | 62% (135/217) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (447/547) | 62% (135/217) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/62) | 40% (26/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (85/133) | 53% (48/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Joao Cruz 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Esquivel L. (A),
- 38', Cleber 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Joao Cruz ↓, Raul ↑,
- 65', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 65', Emerson Negueba ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 67', Railan ↓, JP ↑,
- 70', Giuliano ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 70', Alan Kardec ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Renan Peixoto ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 2, Marquinhos Gabriel ⚽,
- 79', Cleber ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 80', Mendes ↓, Gaspar ↑,
- 81', Luiz Fernando ↓, Tevis ↑,
- 86', Thayllon 🟨,
- 90', Esquivel L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avaí
37.1% | Draw
31.5% | Athletico Paranaense
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Avaí - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.15) |
2.99 ↓
(3.25) |
3 ↓
(3.2) |
6.8%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avaí - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 0.
- Avaí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Athletico PR is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Athletico PR has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Avaí: Eduardo Brock
(Yellow Cards)
Jonathan Costa
(Inactive)
Quaresma
(Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac
(Inactive)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Palacios H.
(Inactive)
Velasco K.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Renan
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Athletico Paranaense?
Avaí has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Avaí?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
11.09.2022
Avaí
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 41 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 39 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 36 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Remo | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Avai | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 32 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 26 |
| 12 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
| 14 | CRB | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | America MG | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14:30 | -16 | 21 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 21 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
