Avaí vs Concórdia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense Avaí - Concórdia
Result
3:1
12/02/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilBrasileirao Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
196
Shots on Goal
85
Shots off Goal
111
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Pericles , Kenzo ,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Mario Sergio ,
  • 27', Rafael Augusto , Wilgner ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Kenzo ,
  • 41', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 1, Joao Vitor ,
  • 53', Jamerson , Quaresma ,
  • 53', Burbano R. , Marcos Vinicius ,
  • 53', Eli Junior , Felipe Rangel ,
  • 59', Patryck Annes 🟨,
  • 63', 3 - 1, Joao Vitor ,
  • 67', Indio , Pedro M. ,
  • 67', Patryck Annes , Caio Mores ,
  • 70', Vagner Love , Rigley ,
  • 76', Hygor , Cleber ,
  • 84', Joao Vitor , Tadesco N. ,

Chances of winning


Avaí
71.4%
Draw
19.9%
Concórdia
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 23.8% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 23.1% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avaí's performance.
  • Concórdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concórdia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avaí that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Avaí - Concórdia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.46)
    4.63
    (3.83)
    10.58
    (6.58)
    8.5%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 3.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • In this match Avaí is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Avaí won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:4 (average 0.9:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Concórdia were as follows:
    02.03.2024 Concórdia - Avaí 0:1
    15.11.2023 Concórdia - Avaí 2:1
    07.11.2023 Avaí - Concórdia 0:1
    03.09.2023 Avaí - Concórdia 1:0
    25.02.2023 Avaí - Concórdia 1:0
    Latest results of Avaí
    05.02.2025 Hercílio Luz - Avaí 0:3
    01.02.2025 Avaí - Joinville 3:0
    29.01.2025 Chapecoense - Avaí 0:0
    25.01.2025 Avaí - Figueirense 0:1
    Latest results of Concórdia
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brusque (4)Chapecoense-SC (5)0 : 1
    2Criciuma (1)Joinville (8)0 : 1
    3Santa Catarina (2)Marcilio Dias (7)2 : 0
    4Avai (3)Figueirense (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Joinville (8)2 : 1
    2Santa Catarina (2)Avai (3)1 : 2

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Avai (3)1 : 1, 2 : 2