Avaí vs Figueirense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
15/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Recopa Catarinense - Final

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
46
Yellow cards
53
Total shots
55
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
11
Corner kicks
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 2', 🟨,
  • 11', 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Avenatti F. ,
  • 18', 🟨,
  • 37', 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Allyson ,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Arthur Henrique ,
  • 45+4', 3 - 1, Luiz Henrique ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 3 - 2, ,
  • 55', 4 - 2, Jean Lucas ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Avaí
49.7%
Draw
27.8%
Figueirense
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 25.5% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 24.7% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.
  • Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Figueirense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Figueirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Avaí - Figueirense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.52)
    3.33
    (3.5)
    4.1
    (5.6)
    8.2%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Avaí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Avaí is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Figueirense were as follows:
    18.01.2026 Figueirense - Avaí 0:2
    09.09.2025 Figueirense - Avaí 5:0
    05.03.2025 Avaí - Figueirense 2:1
    25.01.2025 Avaí - Figueirense 0:1
    17.02.2024 Figueirense - Avaí 1:2
    Latest results of Avaí
    10.03.2026 Portuguesa - Avaí 2:1
    04.03.2026 Avaí - Porto Vitória 3:0
    28.02.2026 Camboriú - Avaí 1:0
    21.02.2026 Avaí - Santa Catarina 3:0
    14.02.2026 Santa Catarina - Avaí 1:2
    Latest results of Figueirense
    Draw
    2026

    Final
    1AvaiFigueirense4 : 2