Avaí vs Santa Catarina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
21/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Catarinense - 5th-8th places - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
36
Corner kicks
410
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
611
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Daniel Penha ,
  • 10', 2 - 0, Daniel Penha ,
  • 34', Bruno Negueba , Renan Nunes ,
  • 45', Piaui 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Thayllon , Rafael Bilu ,
  • 62', Jean Lucas , Paulo Vitor ,
  • 62', Allyson 🟨,
  • 67', 3 - 0, Rafael Bilu ,
  • 70', Allyson , Joao Maistro ,
  • 70', Avenatti F. , Walace ,
  • 71', Bruninho , Gui Nascimento ,
  • 71', Luan , Galdino ,
  • 72', Mendes , Yhago ,
  • 72', Piaui , Brener ,
  • 76', Daniel Penha , Hyan ,
  • 87', Gabriel Simples 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gui Nascimento 🟨,

Chances of winning


Avaí
56.2%
Draw
26.3%
Santa Catarina
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 25.4% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 24.5% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.
  • Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Catarina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Avaí - Santa Catarina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.47)
    3.46
    (3.58)
    5.21
    (7.21)
    9.9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Avaí - Santa Catarina?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Santa Catarina (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Catarina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Santa Catarina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Santa Catarina has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Avaí is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Avaí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Santa Catarina were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Santa Catarina - Avaí 1:2
    25.01.2026 Santa Catarina - Avaí 3:1
    08.03.2025 Santa Catarina - Avaí 1:2
    15.01.2025 Avaí - Santa Catarina 1:0
    Latest results of Avaí
    14.02.2026 Santa Catarina - Avaí 1:2
    08.02.2026 Avaí - Camboriú 0:2
    31.01.2026 Camboriú - Avaí 1:2
    25.01.2026 Santa Catarina - Avaí 3:1
    21.01.2026 Avaí - Chapecoense 1:1
    Latest results of Santa Catarina
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ConcordiaBrusque1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2CriciumaChapecoense-SC0 : 0, 1 : 2
    3Barra FCSanta Catarina1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4CamboriuAvai2 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1BrusqueChapecoense-SC0 : 3, 1 : 0
    2Barra FCCamboriu3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SCBarra FC1 : 3