Aveley vs Welling United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 0, Harris C. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Sach B. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Harris C. ,

Chances of winning


Aveley
49.4%
Draw
24.5%
Welling United
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 21.3% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 20.7% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aveley's form might have worsened.
  • Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Welling United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aveley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Welling United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aveley - Welling United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.56)
    3.72
    (4.32)
    3.5
    (4.68)
    9.6%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Aveley - Welling United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aveley will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Welling will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aveley won 2.
    • Aveley is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Welling has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Welling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aveley has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Aveley is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aveley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aveley won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aveley - Welling United were as follows:
    12.08.2025 Welling United - Aveley Abandoned
    29.11.2024 Aveley - Welling United 1:1
    10.08.2024 Welling United - Aveley 1:0
    06.01.2024 Welling United - Aveley 1:3
    04.12.2023 Aveley - Welling United 2:2
    Latest results of Aveley
    17.01.2026 Dartford - Aveley 2:0
    09.01.2026 Cray Wanderers - Aveley 0:3
    02.01.2026 Aveley - Canvey Island 3:1
    27.12.2025 Hashtag United - Aveley 2:2
    Latest results of Welling United
    English Isthmian League Premier Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folkestone33245480:255577
    2Aveley331811472:423065
    3Brentwood331941068:541461
    4Chatham32176959:302957
    5Billericay33169857:381957
    6Dartford32159853:401354
    7Cray Wanderers331216559:54552
    8Burgess Hill331571160:62-252
    9Ramsgate331212960:52848
    10St. Albans331371362:491346
    11Dulwich Hamlet3212101045:40546
    12Whitehawk311291047:47045
    13Chichester311191141:46-542
    14Cheshunt31913951:51040
    15Lewes331151735:66-3138
    16Wingate & Finchley32961745:53-833
    17Hashtag33881748:66-1832
    18Cray Valley33871843:65-2231
    19Carshalton336111644:60-1629
    20Welling32912236:62-2628
    21Potters Bar32822238:70-3226
    22Canvey31571927:58-3122

          Promotion ~ National League South
          Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )
          Relegation