Result
0:1
08/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', Buchel M. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Sounas D. ⚽,
- 45+3', Tordini M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Rocca M. 🟨,
- 54', D'Ausilio M. 🟨,
- 59', Rocca M. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
- 59', Buchel M. ↓, Garofalo V. ↑,
- 59', Petrucci D. ↓, Vicario J. ↑,
- 64', Palmiero L. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
- 65', Lescano F. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 73', Dell'Aquila F. ↓, Pedicillo L. ↑,
- 73', Costantino R. ↓, De Sena C. ↑,
- 73', Panico G. 🟨,
- 80', Sounas D. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
- 84', Tordini M. ↓, Luciani P. ↑,
- 90+3', Luciani P. 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟥,
Chances of winning
ACR Messina
12.5% | Draw
22.1% | Avellino
65.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ACR Messina's form might have worsened.Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avellino's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ACR Messina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avellino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
ACR Messina - Avellino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.37 ↑
(4.61) |
4.19 ↑
(3.56) |
1.41 ↓
(1.66) |
8.1%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 3.
- Recent matches ACR Messina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Avellino is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Avellino is certain favorite.
- There will not play in ACR Messina: Chiarella M.
(Inactive)
Ingrosso G.
(Injury)
Lia D.
(Injury)
Mame Ass N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Avellino: Aya R.
(Knee Injury)
Campanile A.
(Calf Injury)
Frascatore P.
(Muscle Injury)
Mutanda N.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has ACR Messina won against Avellino?
ACR Messina has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against ACR Messina?
Avellino has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ACR Messina - Avellino were as follows:
27.10.2024
Avellino
-
ACR Messina
6:0
11.02.2024
Avellino
-
ACR Messina
0:1
01.10.2023
ACR Messina
-
Avellino
1:0
22.01.2023
ACR Messina
-
Avellino
2:0
18.09.2022
Avellino
-
ACR Messina
2:1
Latest results of ACR Messina
Latest results of Avellino
Draw
Play Offs1/32-finals| 1 | Crotone | Bye | |
| 2 | Benevento | Juventus U23 | 1 : 5 |
| 4 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 8 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 9 | Renate | Arzignano | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | Virtus Verona | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 16 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 17 | AlbinoLeffe | Bye | |
| 18 | Trento | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Torres | |
| 24 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 25 | Arezzo | Gubbio | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Vis Pesaro | Pontedera | 1 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 29 | Catania | Giugliano | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Potenza | Picerno | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Pescara | Bye | |
| 32 | Pineto | Pianese | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Crotone | Juventus U23 | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 4 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 5 | Renate | Giana Erminio | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 8 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bye | Torres | |
| 12 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 13 | Arezzo | Vis Pesaro | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 15 | Catania | Potenza | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Pescara | Pianese | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Crotone | FeralpiSalo | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | Monopoli | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | Torres | 1 : 2, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | Rimini | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Catania | Pescara | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Crotone | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Giana Erminio | Ternana | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta U23 | Audace Cerignola | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Vis Pesaro | Pescara | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | Ternana | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | Pescara | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Ternana | Pescara | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
