Result
0:3
22/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 13
- Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (428/513) | 77% (289/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 2.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (428/513) | 77% (289/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/65) | 31% (19/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (77/110) | 56% (62/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', Russo R. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
- 17', 0 - 1, Elia S. ⚽, Moruzzi B. (A),
- 22', Degli Innocenti D. 🟨,
- 30', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
- 35', Yepes G. 🟨,
- 41', Fontanarosa A. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Saporiti E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Fontanarosa A. ↓, Enrici P. ↑,
- 46', Cancellotti T. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
- 58', Besaggio M. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
- 61', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Ghion A. ↑,
- 61', Shpendi S. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 69', Nasti M. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
- 69', Yepes G. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
- 78', Curto M. ↓, Guarino G. ↑,
- 82', Biasci T. ↓, Sounas D. ↑,
- 90+3', Saporiti E. 🟨,
- 90+6', 0 - 3, Pellegri P. ⚽, Elia S. (A),
Chances of winning
Avellino
38.8% | Draw
30.7% | Empoli
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Avellino - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.36) |
3.1 ↑
(3.07) |
3.12 ↓
(3.2) |
5.1%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avellino - Empoli?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Empoli will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avellino: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Empoli (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Avellino (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Avellino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Avellino (votes: 4 - 80%). Empoli (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).
- Avellino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Empoli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Avellino: Armellino M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
D'Andrea L.
(Knee Injury)
De Cristofaro A.
(Knee Injury)
Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Iannarilli A.
(Injury)
Pane P.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T.
(Inactive)
Ghion A.
(Injury)
Popov B.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Avellino: Milani A.
(Injury)
Simic L.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Empoli?
Avellino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Avellino?
Empoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Empoli were as follows:
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
