Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Relegation - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (287/344) | 72% (175/243) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (287/344) | 72% (175/243) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (32/52) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (55/76) | 53% (40/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (12/34) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Tony Junior ⚽, Murilo (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Wellisson (Penalty Awarded),
- 27', Ramirez J. 🟨,
- 42', Paulinho Souza 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Anderson Uchoa 🟥,
- 61', Adryel Itaqui ↓, Emerson Tucao ↑,
- 64', Paulinho Souza ↓, Adailson ↑,
- 70', Jean Martim ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 80', Marquinhos ↓, Allan ↑,
- 80', Tony Junior ↓, Talles ↑,
- 86', Xandy ↓, Yuri ↑,
- 87', Wellisson ↓, Matheus Rodrigues ↑,
- 90+1', Rodrigo Mama 🟨,
- 90+2', Talles 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guarany de Bagé
51.3% | Draw
29.1% | Avenida
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Guarany de Bagé - Avenida Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.9) |
3.07 ↑
(3.06) |
4.43 ↓
(4.44) |
9.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Guarany de Bagé is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Avenida has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Guarany de Bagé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Guarany de Bagé might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Guarany de Bagé won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Avenida?
Guarany de Bagé has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avenida won against Guarany de Bagé?
Avenida has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarany de Bagé - Avenida were as follows:
09.02.2026
Avenida
-
Guarany de Bagé
2:1
19.02.2024
Avenida
-
Guarany de Bagé
0:1
Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
Latest results of Avenida
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Internacional | Gremio | 1 : 1, 0 : 3 |
