Result
2:1
09/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Relegation - Round 2
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (171/224) | 74% (193/260) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (171/224) | 74% (193/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (37/55) | 63% (44/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.84 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Wesley Pionteck ⚽, Xandy (A),
- 31', Wesley Pionteck ↓, Emerson Tucao ↑,
- 32', 1 - 1, Marquinhos ⚽, Vitor Oliveira (A),
- 32', Marquinhos 🟨,
- 34', Bruno Cardoso 🟨,
- 38', Marquinhos 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Wellisson (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+6', Rodrigo Mama 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lucao ↓, Adailson ↑,
- 47', Jean Martim 🟨,
- 61', Kauan Bizescki ↓, Anderson Uchoa ↑,
- 64', Vinicius Silva 🟨,
- 65', Jean Martim ↓, Marcao ↑,
- 65', Allan ↓, Paulinho Souza ↑,
- 77', Xandy ↓, Luisinho ↑,
- 77', Wellisson ↓, Matheus Rodrigues ↑,
- 77', Tinga ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 78', Vitor Oliveira ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 80', Tony Junior ↓, Raphinha ↑,
- 82', Marcao 🟨,
- 83', Ramirez J. 🟨,
- 86', Murilo 🟨,
- 90', Anderson Uchoa 🟨,
- 90+4', Jean Carlos 🟥,
- 90+7', Welder 🟥,
- 90+9', Talles 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avenida 35.4% | Draw 32.5% | Guarany de Bagé 32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avenida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Avenida - Guarany de Bagé Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.59 ↓ (2.6) |
2.81 ↓ (2.83) |
2.86 ↑ (2.83) |
9.1% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Avenida have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guarany de Bagé has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Avenida won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avenida won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avenida won against Guarany de Bagé?
Avenida has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Avenida?
Guarany de Bagé has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avenida - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:
19.02.2024
Avenida
-
Guarany de Bagé
0:1
Latest results of Avenida
Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final