Avenida vs Guarany de Bagé – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Gaucho - Relegation - Round 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.840.52
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
53
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
17
Passes
76% (171/224)74% (193/260)
Yellow cards
47
Red cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.840.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.970.16
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
611
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
64
Shots outside the box
713
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1822
Passes
76% (171/224)74% (193/260)
Long passes
50% (26/52)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
67% (37/55)63% (44/70)
Crosses
26% (5/19)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.30
Throw ins
2026
Fouls
2218
Tackles
44% (4/9)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4442
Clearances
2911
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.161.97
Goals prevented
-0.84-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Wesley Pionteck , Xandy (A),
  • 31', Wesley Pionteck , Emerson Tucao ,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Marquinhos , Vitor Oliveira (A),
  • 32', Marquinhos 🟨,
  • 34', Bruno Cardoso 🟨,
  • 38', Marquinhos 🟨,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Wellisson (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+6', Rodrigo Mama 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lucao , Adailson ,
  • 47', Jean Martim 🟨,
  • 61', Kauan Bizescki , Anderson Uchoa ,
  • 64', Vinicius Silva 🟨,
  • 65', Jean Martim , Marcao ,
  • 65', Allan , Paulinho Souza ,
  • 77', Xandy , Luisinho ,
  • 77', Wellisson , Matheus Rodrigues ,
  • 77', Tinga , Ramirez J. ,
  • 78', Vitor Oliveira , Jean Carlos ,
  • 80', Tony Junior , Raphinha ,
  • 82', Marcao 🟨,
  • 83', Ramirez J. 🟨,
  • 86', Murilo 🟨,
  • 90', Anderson Uchoa 🟨,
  • 90+4', Jean Carlos 🟥,
  • 90+7', Welder 🟥,
  • 90+9', Talles 🟨,

Chances of winning


Avenida
35.4%
Draw
32.5%
Guarany de Bagé
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 32.3% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 31.2% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avenida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Avenida - Guarany de Bagé Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.6)
    2.81
    (2.83)
    2.86
    (2.83)
    9.1%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Avenida have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guarany de Bagé has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Avenida won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avenida won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avenida - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:
    19.02.2024 Avenida - Guarany de Bagé 0:1
    Latest results of Avenida
    24.01.2026 Avenida - Novo Hamburgo 1:1
    21.01.2026 Avenida - Ypiranga 3:0
    18.01.2026 Monsoon - Avenida 0:0
    Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1InternacionalSao Luiz3 : 1
    2SER CaxiasYpiranga FC0 : 2
    3JuventudeEC Sao Jose3 : 2
    4GremioNovo Hamburgo1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalYpiranga FC4 : 0, 3 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio