Avenida vs Guarany de Bagé – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho Avenida - Guarany de Bagé
Result
0:1
19/02/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: GAUCHO - ROUND 9

Chances of winning


Avenida
46.2%
Draw
28.3%
Guarany de Bagé
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 31% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 29.9% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avenida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avenida that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Avenida - Guarany de Bagé Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.19)
    3.22
    (3)
    3.61
    (3.52)
    9.3%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Avenida is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Guarany de Bagé is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Avenida will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Avenida won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Avenida won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    Latest results of Avenida
    14.02.2024 Santa Cruz-RS - Avenida 1:1
    10.02.2024 Avenida - Ypiranga 2:0
    07.02.2024 Juventude - Avenida 3:1
    03.02.2024 Avenida - Grêmio 0:1
    31.01.2024 São Luiz - Avenida 1:0
    Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalSER Caxias3 : 1, 2 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio2 : 2, 1 : 2

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0