Aviron Bayonnais vs Bordeaux Bègles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Aviron Bayonnais - Bordeaux Bègles
Result
36:32
15/02/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCANAL+ Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player

Match Stats

Tries
33
Conversion Goals
31
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
55
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (16 - 8)
  • 3', Lopez C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 9', Depoortere N. (Try),
  • 10', Carbery J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 12', Erbinartegaray A. 🟨,
  • 17', Lopez C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 24', Rouet G. (Try),
  • 25', Lopez C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 36', Lopez C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (20 - 24)
  • 50', Carbery J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 52', Echegaray J. (Try),
  • 55', Matiu T. (Try),
  • 56', Carbery J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 58', Bruni R. (Try),
  • 59', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 61', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 70', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 71', Bordelai A. (Try),
  • 72', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 75', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 80', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Aviron Bayonnais
66.5%
Draw
3.5%
Bordeaux Bègles
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 4.5% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 4.5% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aviron Bayonnais's performance.
  • Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bordeaux Bègles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aviron Bayonnais that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bordeaux Bègles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aviron Bayonnais - Bordeaux Bègles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.56)
    27
    (20.46)
    3.04
    (2.52)
    8.7%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - Bordeaux Bègles?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bayonne will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayonne: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:23.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayonne won 1.
    • Recent matches Bayonne is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bordeaux Bègles is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Bayonne is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Bayonne to win the game is with odds 1.39.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Bayonne won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 293:455 (average 18.3:28.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bayonne won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 140:162 (average 20:23.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aviron Bayonnais - Bordeaux Bègles were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Bordeaux Bègles - Aviron Bayonnais 30:27
    27.04.2024 Aviron Bayonnais - Bordeaux Bègles 15:34
    06.01.2024 Bordeaux Bègles - Aviron Bayonnais 24:23
    07.01.2023 Bordeaux Bègles - Aviron Bayonnais 23:15
    24.09.2022 Aviron Bayonnais - Bordeaux Bègles 20:15
    Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
    Latest results of Bordeaux Bègles
    25.01.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Lyon 20:22
    19.01.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Sharks 66:12
    28.12.2024 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon 21:17
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais00000:00
    2Castres Olympique00000:00
    3Clermont00000:00
    4Montauban00000:00
    5Montpellier00000:00
    6Stade Francais Paris00000:00
    7USA Perpignan00000:00
    8RC Toulonnais00000:00
    9Stade Toulousain00000:00
    10Racing 9200000:00
    11Stade Rochelais00000:00
    12Bordeaux Begles00000:00
    13Lyon00000:00
    14Section Paloise00000:00

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2