Aviron Bayonnais vs Stormers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
17:26
05/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3

Match Stats

Tries
32
Conversion Goals
12
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
04
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (5 - 16)
  • 2', Zas L. (Try),
  • 3', Khan I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 16', Mori F. (Try),
  • 23', Swart C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 28', Swart C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 31', Swart C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 10)
  • 49', Smith A. 🟥,
  • 53', Erbinartegaray A. (Try),
  • 61', Paulos L. (Try),
  • 62', Spring T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', de Villiers P. (Try),
  • 77', Swart C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80+1', Swart C. (Penalty Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Aviron Bayonnais
47.3%
Draw
4.9%
Stormers
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 4.5% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Stormers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Aviron Bayonnais - Stormers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.8)
    19.5
    (20.67)
    1.9
    (2.08)
    9.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 41.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - Stormers?
  • Users Predictions: Stormers will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stormers will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:22.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bayonne has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stormers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
    Latest results of Stormers
    29.11.2025 Munster - Stormers 26:27
    25.10.2025 Benetton Treviso - Stormers 16:31
    18.10.2025 Zebre - Stormers 13:31
    10.10.2025 Llanelli Scarlets - Stormers 0:34
    03.10.2025 Stormers - Ospreys 26:10
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesLeicester Tigers64 : 14
    2Stade ToulousainBristol59 : 26
    3BathSaracens31 : 22
    4Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique49 : 41
    5LeinsterEdinburgh49 : 31
    6HarlequinsSale Sharks17 : 26
    7Glasgow WarriorsBulls25 : 21
    8RC ToulonnaisStormers28 : 27

    Quarter-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain30 : 15
    2BathNorthampton Saints43 : 41
    3LeinsterSale Sharks43 : 13
    4Glasgow WarriorsRC Toulonnais19 : 22

    Semi-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesBath
    2LeinsterRC Toulonnais

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2