Avondale vs Caroline Springs George Cross – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
02/05/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
75
Corner kicks
34
Total shots
117
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Fornaroli B. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Lofts L. ,
  • 38', 2 - 1, Fornaroli B. ,
  • 45+1', 3 - 1, Trajceski K. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 65', 4 - 1, ,
  • 67', 5 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 5 - 2, ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Avondale
70.5%
Draw
19%
Caroline Springs George Cross
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 25% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 23.5% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avondale's performance.
  • Caroline Springs George Cross has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caroline Springs George Cross might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-16.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avondale that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Springs George Cross than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caroline Springs George Cross could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Avondale - Caroline Springs George Cross Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.76)
    5.5
    (3.55)
    9.95
    (3.6)
    -4.1%
    (12.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7)
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Avondale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Avondale is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Avondale
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakleigh Cannons1172228:131523
    2South Melbourne1170419:13621
    3Heidelberg Utd1162318:13520
    4Hume City1162317:14320
    5Avondale FC1161424:15919
    6Preston Lions1162320:11914
    7Melbourne City U211135317:15214
    8Bentleigh Greens1142513:15-214
    9George Cross1135312:15-314
    10St Albans1141612:23-1113
    11Dandenong Thunder1132613:14-111
    12Altona Magic1124513:18-510
    13Dandenong City1133513:17-48
    14Green Gully110385:28-233

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation