Hume City vs Avondale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian NPL Victoria Hume City - Avondale
Result
1:2
04/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
65
Total shots
811
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
65
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Ishak A. (Own goal),
  • 35', 0 - 2, Zinni S. ,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Tatafu M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Official Live

Chances of winning


Hume City
22.9%
Draw
23.4%
Avondale
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 25.4% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 26.1% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hume City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hume City's form might have worsened.
  • Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avondale's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (+17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hume City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-19%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avondale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hume City - Avondale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.99
    (2.31)
    3.89
    (3.55)
    1.7
    (2.53)
    9.6%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Hume City - Avondale?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avondale (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Avondale will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 0.
    • Recent performances by Hume City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Avondale is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Avondale is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:38. (average 1.1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hume City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hume City - Avondale were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Avondale - Hume City 2:0
    15.06.2024 Avondale - Hume City 5:0
    09.03.2024 Hume City - Avondale 1:2
    03.06.2023 Hume City - Avondale 0:1
    03.03.2023 Avondale - Hume City 3:2
    Latest results of Hume City
    Latest results of Avondale
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Heidelberg Utd (2)Bye
    2Oakleigh Cannons (4)Preston Lions (5)1 : 2
    3Avondale FC (1)Bye
    4Dandenong Thunder (3)Dandenong City (6)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Heidelberg Utd (2)Preston Lions (5)2 : 1
    2Avondale FC (1)Dandenong City (6)0 : 1

    Final
    1Heidelberg Utd (2)Dandenong City (6)2 : 1