Hume City vs Avondale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian NPL Victoria Hume City - Avondale
Result
1:2
04/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
65
Total shots
811
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
65
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Ishak A. (Own goal),
  • 35', 0 - 2, Zinni S. ,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Tatafu M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Official Live

Chances of winning


Hume City
22.9%
Draw
23.4%
Avondale
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 25.4% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 26.1% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hume City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hume City's form might have worsened.
  • Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avondale's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (+17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hume City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-19%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avondale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hume City - Avondale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.99
    (2.31)
    3.89
    (3.55)
    1.7
    (2.53)
    9.6%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Hume City - Avondale?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avondale (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Avondale will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 0.
    • Recent performances by Hume City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Avondale is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Avondale is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:38. (average 1.1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hume City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hume City - Avondale were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Avondale - Hume City 2:0
    15.06.2024 Avondale - Hume City 5:0
    09.03.2024 Hume City - Avondale 1:2
    03.06.2023 Hume City - Avondale 0:1
    03.03.2023 Avondale - Hume City 3:2
    Latest results of Hume City
    Latest results of Avondale
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avondale FC26194366:273961
    2Heidelberg Utd26176355:253057
    3Dandenong Thunder26165560:322853
    4Oakleigh Cannons26154758:332549
    5Preston Lions26145740:281247
    6Dandenong City261010651:381340
    7Hume City261151042:40238
    8Green Gully26871139:42-331
    9South Melbourne26771229:46-1728
    10Altona Magic26761328:38-1027
    11St Albans26761345:56-1127
    12Melbourne Victory U2126531836:60-2418
    13Port Melbourne Sharks26451724:64-4017
    14Melbourne Knights26431928:72-4415

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League