Braga vs AVS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Football Liga Portugal Braga - AVS
Result
4:1
13/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 29
  • Referee: Martins T. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSport TV Africa, ZAP
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.110.52
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
86% (504/583)76% (256/335)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.110.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.52
Total shots
184
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3010
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
813
Passes
86% (504/583)76% (256/335)
Long passes
49% (31/63)43% (21/49)
Passes in final third
71% (97/137)52% (26/50)
Crosses
40% (10/25)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.16
Fouls
138
Tackles
59% (10/17)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4753
Clearances Total
2035
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.521.73
Goals prevented
-0.48-2.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Horta R. ⚽, Patrao A. (A),
  • 25', Horta R. 🟨,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Racic U. ⚽, Gharbi I. (A),
  • 34', Oliveira P. 🟨,
  • 37', 3 - 0, Racic U. ⚽, Gharbi I. (A),
  • 45+1', 3 - 1, Rodrigues R. ⚽, Ze Luis (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Santos A. ↓, Lucas Fernandes ↑,
  • 63', Patrao A. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
  • 63', Gharbi I. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
  • 68', Tunde Akinsola ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
  • 68', Assuncao G. A. 🟨,
  • 71', Assuncao G. A. ↓, Mena Y. ↑,
  • 72', Grau J. 🟨,
  • 76', Racic U. ↓, Vitor Carvalho ↑,
  • 76', Zalazar R. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
  • 82', Horta R. ↓, Furtado R. ↑,
  • 82', Tavares T. ↓, Fonseca F. ↑,
  • 82', Mercado J. ↓, Kiki ↑,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, El Ouazzani A. ⚽, Rodrigues D. (A),

Chances of winning


Braga
66%		Draw
21.7%		AVS
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.9% 18.5% 9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.9% 17.5% 9.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.
  • AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
    •

    Braga - AVS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.43 ↑
    (1.31)    		 4.39 ↓
    (5.08)    		 7.63 ↓
    (9.8)    		 6%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Braga - AVS?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). AVS will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 71.3% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
    • Braga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • AVS is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Braga is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Braga: Fernandes R. (Thigh Injury) Moutinho J. (Red Card) Navarro F. (Injury) Robson Bambu (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in AVS: Lopes V. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in AVS: Rodrigues G. (Injury) Santos A. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Braga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - AVS were as follows:
    01.12.2024 AVS - Braga 0:1
    Latest results of Braga
    07.04.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Braga 1:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Braga - Arouca 2:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Farense - Braga 0:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Braga - Porto 1:0 ✺
    02.03.2025 Rio Ave - Braga 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of AVS
    04.04.2025 AVS - Estoril Praia 0:3 ✺
    30.03.2025 Famalicão - AVS 4:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Porto - AVS 2:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 AVS - Arouca 0:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Farense - AVS 0:1 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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