Result
0:4
02/02/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 20
- Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (254/330) | 90% (612/683) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 3.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (254/330) | 90% (612/683) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (14/47) | 51% (29/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (47/78) | 84% (162/193) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.56 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Horta R. ⚽, Victor P. (A),
- 23', Arrey-Mbi B. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 2, Zalazar R. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 59', Algobia A. ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
- 65', Barisic A. ↓, Oliveira P. ↑,
- 65', Arrey-Mbi B. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
- 66', Perea O. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
- 66', Duarte D. ↓, Nene ↑,
- 73', Gorby ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
- 74', Martinez G. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 3, Victor P. ⚽, Rodrigues D. (A),
- 81', Roni ↓, Grau J. ↑,
- 81', Mendonca G. ↓, Tomane ↑,
- 83', 0 - 4, Victor P. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
- 85', Horta R. ↓, Tiknaz D. E. ↑,
Chances of winning
AVS
10.5% | Draw
19.1% | Braga
70.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
AVS - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.06 ↑
(7.79) |
4.95 ↑
(4.73) |
1.34 ↓
(1.39) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AVS - Braga?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Braga will win (votes: 21 - 84%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 69.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - AVS (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Braga (1.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Braga (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +2 - Braga (2.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Braga will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 34 high ROI users predict this event. AVS (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Braga (votes: 29 - 85.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 5).
- AVS is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Braga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Braga is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in AVS: Molina G.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Braga: El Ouazzani A.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, AVS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Braga?
AVS has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against AVS?
Braga has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Braga were as follows:
24.08.2025
Braga
-
AVS
2:2
13.04.2025
Braga
-
AVS
4:1
01.12.2024
AVS
-
Braga
0:1
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
