Result
2:0
07/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 23 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (316/373) | 81% (297/367) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 76% (90/118) | 57% (46/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 27% (4/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 75% (12/16) |
| Clearances Total |
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| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Paolo Guerrero (Pen),
- 41', 2 - 0, Lagos R. ⚽, Cantero A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yovera A. ↓, Tamariz A. ↑,
- 46', Ramirez D. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
- 58', Bilbao J. 🟨,
- 66', Ferreira M. ↓, Villamarin J. ↑,
- 66', Medina F. ↓, Falconi J. ↑,
- 67', Navarro G. 🟨,
- 68', Quevedo K. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
- 69', Cantero A. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
- 71', Uribe C. ↓, Salem J. ↑,
- 74', Ganoza M. 🟨,
- 78', Succar M. 🟨,
- 87', D'Arrigo J. ↓, Trauco M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alianza Lima
75.9% | Draw
15.8% | Ayacucho
8.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Lima's performance.Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayacucho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Lima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayacucho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza Lima - Ayacucho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.49) |
5.94 ↑
(4.08) |
11.11 ↑
(6.41) |
7.1%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 3.
- Alianza Lima in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Ayacucho is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Alianza Lima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Alianza Lima is absolute favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 34:19 (average 1.7:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Lima won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:7 (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Ayacucho?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Alianza Lima?
Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Ayacucho were as follows:
25.10.2022
Ayacucho
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
