Ayacucho vs Alianza Lima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
09/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.11
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
13
Shots on target
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
02
Passes
63% (29/46)79% (64/81)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.00
Total shots
13
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
00
Shots inside the Box
12
Shots outside the Box
01
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
02
Touches in opposition box
32
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
11
Passes
63% (29/46)79% (64/81)
Long passes
29% (4/14)44% (7/16)
Passes in final third
29% (4/14)55% (16/29)
Crosses
0% (0/2)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.160.09
Throw-ins
44
Fouls
11
Tackles
100% (4/4)100% (2/2)
Duels won
76
Clearances
113
Interceptions
41
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.00
Goals prevented
-1.000.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Orue D. 🟨,
  • 41', Gentile G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Yovera A. , Lucumi J. ,
  • 46', Perez Azambuya E. M. , Caballero F. ,
  • 46', Gaibor F. , Barcos H. ,
  • 46', Arrasco M. , Archimbaud J. ,
  • 59', Vilchez J. , de la Cruz A. ,
  • 62', Leon Canchanya B. H. 🟨,
  • 63', Gentile G. , Cantero A. ,
  • 67', Estrada J. , Huaman M. ,
  • 70', Zambrano C. , Chavez G. ,
  • 72', Archimbaud J. 🟨,
  • 76', 0 - 1, Ceppelini P. (Pen),
  • 77', Ceppelini P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Noriega E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ayacucho
23.4%
Draw
27.6%
Alianza Lima
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 28.2% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 28.8% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Ayacucho - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.02
    (4.14)
    3.37
    (3.35)
    1.9
    (1.93)
    7.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Alianza Lima?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Alianza Lima will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Alianza Lima is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Ayacucho: Correa Flores C. A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Alianza Lima: Delgado J. (Broken nose) Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Tendon Injury) Paolo Guerrero (Ankle Injury) Pena S. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Ayacucho: Barrios K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Cantero A. (Muscle Injury) Cari P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Alianza Lima - Ayacucho 2:0
    25.10.2022 Ayacucho - Alianza Lima 0:1
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cajamarca43108:4410
    2Alianza Lima43105:2310
    3FBC Melgar43019:459
    4U. de Deportes42207:438
    5Los Chankas42206:428
    6Sporting Cristal41216:515
    7FC Cajamarca41217:705
    8Deportivo Garcilaso41213:305
    9Alianza Atl41212:205
    10Cienciano41128:624
    11Sport Huancayo41125:504
    12Cusco41124:404
    13Sport Boys41122:3-14
    14Comerciantes Unidos41124:6-24
    15AD Tarma41123:5-24
    16Juan Pablo II41126:12-64
    17Moquegua41033:8-53
    18Grau40131:5-41

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