Mai Hontama vs Ayano Shimizu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/10/2024 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
73
1st Serve Percentage
65%68%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (38/62)46% (31/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (11/34)58% (18/31)
Break Points Saved
50% (6/12)63% (12/19)
1st Return Points Won
54% (36/67)39% (24/62)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (13/31)68% (23/34)
Break Points Converted
37% (7/19)50% (6/12)
Max Points In Row
68
Service Points Won
51% (49/96)50% (49/98)
Return Points Won
50% (49/98)49% (47/96)
Total Points Won
51% (98/194)49% (96/194)
Max Games In Row
85
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)50% (7/14)
Return Games Won
50% (7/14)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Mai Hontama
76.7%
Ayano Shimizu
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.1% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mai Hontama's performance.
  • Ayano Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayano Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayano Shimizu than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Mai Hontama - Ayano Shimizu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.31)

    4.01
    (3.21)
    6.9%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Hontama is ranked WTA: 126. Shimizu is ranked WTA: 278.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Shimizu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Hontama is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Hontama won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mai Hontama - Ayano Shimizu were as follows:
    01.12.2023 Ayano Shimizu - Mai Hontama 2:0
    Latest results of Mai Hontama
    Latest results of Ayano Shimizu
    18.10.2024 Miho Kuramochi - Ayano Shimizu Kuramochi M. retired
    28.09.2024 Aoi Ito - Ayano Shimizu 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Bye
    2Wang Xin.Gracheva V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Golubic V. (LL)Joint M.1 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Muchova K. (8)0 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (3)Bye
    6Charaeva A. (Q)Cristian J.0 : 2
    7Sonobe W. (WC)Bartunkova N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Uchijima M. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (7)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    10Lamens S. (LL)Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    11Bucsa C. (Q)Kessler M.1 : 2
    12ByeNoskova L. (6)
    13Mboko V. (9)Andreescu B. (WC)2 : 0
    14Boulter K. (Q)Lys E. (Q)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Sakkari M. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Gracheva V.2 : 0
    2Joint M.Muchova K. (8)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E. (3)Cristian J.2 : 0
    4Sonobe W.Kenin S.1 : 2
    5Shnaider D. (7)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    6Kessler M.Noskova L. (6)1 : 2
    7Mboko V. (9)Lys E.2 : 0
    8Fernandez L.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Muchova K. (8)2 : 1
    2Alexandrova E. (3)Kenin S.1 : 2
    3Kalinskaya A. (RET.)Noskova L. (6)0 : 1
    4Mboko V. (9)Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Kenin S.2 : 1
    2Noskova L. (WO.) (6)Rybakina E. (2)

    Final
    1Bencic B. (5)Noskova L. (6)2 : 0