Ayla Aksu vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Caldas Da Rainha Challenger Women Ayla Aksu - Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Result
2:0
15/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
63%50%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (21/32)46% (12/26)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (11/19)31% (8/26)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)57% (8/14)
1st Return Points Won
54% (14/26)34% (11/32)
2nd Return Points Won
69% (18/26)42% (8/19)
Break Points Converted
43% (6/14)17% (1/6)
Service Points Won
63% (32/51)38% (20/52)
Return Points Won
62% (32/52)37% (19/51)
Total Points Won
62% (64/103)38% (39/103)
Last 10 Balls
100
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
86% (6/7)14% (1/7)
Return Games Won
86% (6/7)14% (1/7)
Total Games Won
86% (12/14)14% (2/14)

Chances of winning


Ayla Aksu
73.2%
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayla Aksu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayla Aksu's performance.
  • Ekaterina Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ekaterina Ovcharenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayla Aksu than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayla Aksu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ekaterina Ovcharenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ayla Aksu - Ekaterina Ovcharenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.44)

    3.42
    (2.63)
    6.6%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Aksu is ranked WTA: 376. Ovcharenko is ranked WTA: 448.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ovcharenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Aksu might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ayla Aksu
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Marcinko P. (1)Tikhonova A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Murta I. (WC)Tan H.0 : 2
    3Cross K.Aksu A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Hesse A.Quevedo K. (5)0 : 2
    5Korneeva A. (3)Jamrichova R.1 : 2
    6Radwanska U. (Q)Dart H.0 : 2
    7Pliskova Ka. (WC)Andrianjafitrimo T.2 : 1
    8Iatcenko P.Jorge M. (6)2 : 0
    9Vedder E. (8)Sebov K.2 : 1
    10Knutson G.Guerrero Alvarez E. (Q)2 : 1
    11Glushko L.Dmitruk K.0 : 2
    12Belgraver J.Snigur D. (4)0 : 2
    13Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7)Ryser V.2 : 1
    14Diatchenko V.Lee C. Y.0 : 2
    15Kalieva E.Nozdrachova M. (WC)2 : 0
    16Santos A.F. (WC)Korpatsch T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Marcinko P. (1)Tan H.2 : 0
    2Aksu A.Quevedo K. (5)1 : 2
    3Jamrichova R.Dart H.2 : 1
    4Pliskova Ka.Iatcenko P.1 : 2
    5Vedder E. (8)Knutson G.1 : 2
    6Dmitruk K.Snigur D. (4)0 : 2
    7Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7)Lee C. Y.0 : 2
    8Kalieva E.Korpatsch T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Marcinko P. (RET.) (1)Quevedo K. (5)0 : 0
    2Jamrichova R. (RET.)Iatcenko P.0 : 0
    3Knutson G.Snigur D. (4)2 : 0
    4Lee C. Y.Korpatsch T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Quevedo K. (5)Iatcenko P.0 : 2
    2Knutson G.Lee C. Y.2 : 1

    Final
    1Iatcenko P.Knutson G.2 : 1