Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (254/327) | 73% (194/264) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (254/327) | 73% (194/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (36/70) | 50% (33/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (70/106) | 54% (57/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Otton C. ⚽,
- 14', Changthong A. 🟨,
- 25', Wellington Priori 🟨,
- 34', Laptrakul C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Changthong A. ↓, Biaothungoi P. ↑,
- 55', Tamma C. ↓, Bunsan K. ↑,
- 57', Mateusinho ↓, Jansuwan P. ↑,
- 57', Romeu ↓, Aranpiroj R. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Wellington Priori ⚽,
- 68', Chatthong S. ↓, Gildo ↑,
- 76', Islame Y. ↓, Kasemkulwirai K. ↑,
- 77', Worasut N. ↓, Baek Sung-Dong ↑,
- 78', Promsomboon N. 🟨,
- 84', Mhuaddarak T. ↓, Phatthaphon P. ↑,
- 84', Baggio J. ↓, Khamphaeng P. ↑,
- 88', Conrado ↓, Pombuppha C. ↑,
- 90+1', Phatthaphon P. 🟨,
- 90+8', Bunsan K. 🟨,
- 90+9', Bunsan K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sukhothai
31.8% | Draw
28.2% | Ayutthaya United
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.56) |
3.23 ↑
(3.1) |
2.28 ↓
(2.56) |
9.7%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Ayutthaya United (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Ayutthaya United (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayutthaya United (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).
- Sukhothai is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Ayutthaya United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Sukhothai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sukhothai won against Ayutthaya United?
Sukhothai has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayutthaya United won against Sukhothai?
Ayutthaya United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United were as follows:
04.10.2025
Ayutthaya United
-
Sukhothai
1:1
Latest results of Sukhothai
Latest results of Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 71:23 | 48 | 66 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 27 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33:45 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 19:39 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:39 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
