Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        04/10/2025 at  08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Thai League 1 - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Thailand | AIS PLAY | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.12 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 48% | 52% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 18 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (292/361) | 83% (315/379) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.12 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.55 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 18 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 10 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 15 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 17 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (292/361) | 83% (315/379) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 37% (17/46) | 46% (25/54) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 65% (59/91) | 60% (58/97) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 17% (3/18) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.82 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 15 | 18 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 17 | 8 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 100% (8/8) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 36 | 31 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 22 | 14 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.64 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.36 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Otton C. 🟨, 
- 16', Thumporn T. 🟨, 
- 21', Caique Lemes 🟨, 
- 31', 1 - 0, Conrado ⚽, Pombuppha C. (A), 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Yaidee K. 🟨, 
- 64', Aranpiroj R. ↓, Mhuaddarak T. ↑, 
- 65', Chatthong S. ↓, Mateusinho ↑, 
- 65', Yaidee K. ↓, Biaothungoi P. ↑, 
- 71', Diego Carioca ↓, Laptrakul C. ↑, 
- 83', Denman A. ↓, Phranmaen T. ↑, 
- 86', Worasut N. ↓, De Bruycker D. ↑, 
- 86', Pombuppha C. ↓, Kaewcharoen N. ↑, 
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Romeu ⚽, Elias (A), 
- 90+6', Otton C. ↓, Phatthaphon P. ↑, 
- 90+6', Thumporn T. ↓, Kanlayanabandit S. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Ayutthaya United 58.2%
 | Draw 26.7%
 | Sukhothai 15.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.81 (1.81)
 | 3.93 ↑ (3.79)
 | 6.95 ↑ (3.88)
 | -4.8% (7.4%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Ayutthaya United (1.95) (votes: 3 - 100%). 
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.  
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 12)
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sukhothai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ayutthaya United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ayutthaya United won against Sukhothai?
                    
                    
                        
                            Ayutthaya United has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Sukhothai won against Ayutthaya United?
                    
                    
                        
                             Sukhothai has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Ayutthaya United                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Sukhothai                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Buriram | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22:9 | 13 | 22 | 
| 2 | Bangkok Utd | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:12 | 6 | 20 | 
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 | 
| 4 | Port MTI FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:6 | 12 | 16 | 
| 5 | Pathum United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 | 
| 6 | Chiangrai Utd | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 | 
| 7 | Prachuap | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 | 
| 8 | Rayong FC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 | 
| 9 | Sukhothai | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 | 
| 10 | Muang Thong Utd | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 | 
| 11 | Chonburi | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 | 
| 12 | Ayutthaya Utd | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 7 | 
| 13 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 | 
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 | 
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:25 | -11 | 6 | 
| 16 | Uthai Thani | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 | 
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Thai League 2