Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (292/361) | 83% (315/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (292/361) | 83% (315/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (17/46) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (59/91) | 60% (58/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Otton C. 🟨,
- 16', Thumporn T. 🟨,
- 21', Caique Lemes 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Conrado ⚽, Pombuppha C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Yaidee K. 🟨,
- 64', Aranpiroj R. ↓, Mhuaddarak T. ↑,
- 65', Chatthong S. ↓, Mateusinho ↑,
- 65', Yaidee K. ↓, Biaothungoi P. ↑,
- 71', Diego Carioca ↓, Laptrakul C. ↑,
- 83', Denman A. ↓, Phranmaen T. ↑,
- 86', Worasut N. ↓, De Bruycker D. ↑,
- 86', Pombuppha C. ↓, Kaewcharoen N. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Romeu ⚽, Elias (A),
- 90+6', Otton C. ↓, Phatthaphon P. ↑,
- 90+6', Thumporn T. ↓, Kanlayanabandit S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ayutthaya United
58.2% | Draw
26.7% | Sukhothai
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayutthaya United's performance.Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sukhothai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayutthaya United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sukhothai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.81) |
4.03 ↑
(3.79) |
7.68 ↑
(3.88) |
-6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Ayutthaya United (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 12)
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sukhothai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ayutthaya United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayutthaya United won against Sukhothai?
Ayutthaya United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sukhothai won against Ayutthaya United?
Sukhothai has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai were as follows:
Latest results of Ayutthaya United
Latest results of Sukhothai
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Bangkok Utd | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Rayong FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Port MTI FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15:6 | 9 | 10 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Prachuap | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Muang Thong Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Sukhothai | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Ayutthaya Utd | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | Chonburi | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Uthai Thani | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
