Result
16/03/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 26
- Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, ESPN 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 6 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 6 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Indonesia | Kompas TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Montenegro | Sportklub 6 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Russia | TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | SportKlub 6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport ESPN |
 Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (467/539) | 83% (385/462) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 70% (64/91) | 65% (67/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 20% (2/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 57% (12/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Taylor K. 🟨,
- 32', Penetra 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 0 - 1, Buurmeester Z. ⚽,
- 54', Belic K. 🟨,
- 57', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Gaaei A. ⚽, Traore B. (A),
- 58', Clasie J. 🟨,
- 69', Kasius D. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
- 69', Belic K. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
- 69', Parrott T. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 74', Gaaei A. 🟥,
- 74', Penetra 🟨,
- 80', Godts M. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
- 80', Traore B. ↓, Rosa L. ↑,
- 80', Wolfe D. M. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Sadiq I. ⚽, Koopmeiners P. (A),
- 85', 2 - 2, Edvardsen O. ⚽,
- 90', Buurmeester Z. ↓, Martins Indi B. ↑,
- 90+2', Taylor K. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
- 90+2', Brobbey B. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajax
50.1% | Draw
26.1% | AZ Alkmaar
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ajax - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.65) |
3.64 ↓
(4.1) |
4.03 ↓
(4.8) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ajax - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
Ajax will win
(22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Ajax is a favorite.
- There will not play in Ajax: Pasveer R.
(Groin Injury)
Rasmussen C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Regeer Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Weghorst W.
(Toe Injury)
Wijndal O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Addai J.
(Ankle Injury)
Goes W.
(Yellow Cards)
Mijnans S.
(Muscle Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
van Bommel R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: van Axel Dongen A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Kasius D.
(Injury)
Lahdo M.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ajax won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 30:22 (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:7 (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against AZ Alkmaar?
Ajax has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Ajax?
AZ Alkmaar has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
14.01.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:0
08.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:1
25.02.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:0
08.10.2023
Ajax
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:2
06.05.2023
Ajax
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:0
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
