Result
0:2
18/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 9
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 2.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (480/549) | 81% (281/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (480/549) | 81% (281/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (22/36) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (122/159) | 61% (54/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', de Wit M. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Weslley Patati ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 2, Parrott T. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Gaaei A. 🟨,
- 58', Mokio J. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
- 59', Klaassen D. 🟨,
- 70', Gloukh O. ↓, McConnell J. ↑,
- 70', Edvardsen O. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
- 72', Baas Y. 🟨,
- 73', Parrott T. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 73', de Wit M. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
- 73', Weslley Patati ↓, Sin M. ↑,
- 78', Gaaei A. ↓, Alders G. ↑,
- 78', Godts M. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
- 83', Koopmeiners P. 🟨,
- 89', Weghorst W. 🟨,
- 90+1', Jensen I. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajax
45.8% | Draw
25.2% | AZ Alkmaar
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Ajax - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.91) |
3.77 ↓
(4) |
3.3 ↓
(3.61) |
4.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ajax - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). AZ will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 53.9% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 50%). AZ (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ajax is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Ajax: Dolberg K.
(Abdominal strain)
Regeer Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Wijndal O.
(Muscle Injury)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Inactive)
Maikuma S.
(Knee Injury)
Meerdink M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Itakura K.
(Injury)
Konadu D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in AZ: Jensen I.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against AZ Alkmaar?
Ajax has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Ajax?
AZ Alkmaar has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
14.01.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:0
08.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:1
25.02.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:0
08.10.2023
Ajax
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:2
06.05.2023
Ajax
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:0
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | PSV | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27:12 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Twente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
