Result
1:1
08/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 22
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Suriname | QN Sports |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (250/333) | 83% (458/549) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (250/333) | 83% (458/549) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/51) | 56% (36/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (55/80) | 74% (123/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | 1.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Maikuma S. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sin M. ↓, Hornkamp J. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Goes W. ⚽,
- 59', de Wit M. 🟨,
- 66', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
- 73', Daal R. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 73', Jensen I. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
- 76', Steur S. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
- 76', Bounida R. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
- 76', Wijndal O. ↓, Zinchenko O. ↑,
- 89', Godts M. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Fitz-Jim K. ⚽, Edvardsen O. (A),
- 90+5', Sadiq I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
39.9% | Draw
26.3% | Ajax
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
AZ Alkmaar - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.22) |
3.58 ↓
(3.67) |
2.81 ↓
(2.82) |
5.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2% – 63.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 25%). Ajax (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Ajax (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Ajax (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 20%). Ajax (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Ajax?
AZ Alkmaar has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against AZ Alkmaar?
Ajax has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Ajax were as follows:
14.01.2026
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
6:0
18.10.2025
Ajax
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:2
14.01.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:0
08.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:1
25.02.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:0
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
