Result
08/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
42.9% | Draw
25% | Ajax
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
AZ Alkmaar - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.22) |
3.77 ↑
(3.67) |
2.92 ↑
(2.82) |
6.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Ajax?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- AZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- AZ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Ajax?
AZ Alkmaar has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against AZ Alkmaar?
Ajax has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Ajax were as follows:
14.01.2026
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
6:0
18.10.2025
Ajax
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:2
14.01.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:0
08.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:1
25.02.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Ajax
2:0
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 64:25 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 51:32 | 19 | 39 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 52:34 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Ajax | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 41:28 | 13 | 38 |
| 5 | Sparta Rotterdam | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 35 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 36:35 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Twente | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 31:24 | 7 | 31 |
| 8 | Groningen | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
| 9 | Zwolle | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | 25 |
| 11 | Sittard | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 25 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 24 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | G.A. Eagles | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 31:34 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Heracles | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 30:53 | -23 | 17 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23:34 | -11 | 16 |
| 18 | Telstar | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 25:37 | -12 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
