Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Result
4:3
21/12/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 17
  • Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
indonesiaIndonesiaKompas TV, Vidio
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1, Sport TV2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.383.79
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1521
Shots on target
69
Big Chances
37
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
67% (164/246)88% (411/467)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.383.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.523.53
Total shots
1521
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
917
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
37
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
1436
Accurate through passes
14
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
67% (164/246)88% (411/467)
Long passes
37% (22/59)50% (25/50)
Passes in final third
47% (42/89)81% (120/148)
Crosses
45% (5/11)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.621.89
Throw-ins
1216
Fouls
1811
Tackles
68% (21/31)67% (6/9)
Duels won
7043
Clearances
2622
Interceptions
15
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
3.532.52
Goals prevented
0.53-1.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Lonwijk J. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Parrott T. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 2, Mijnans S. ⚽, Penetra (A),
  • 37', Sierhuis K. 🟨,
  • 40', Brittijn P. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 2, Sierhuis K. ⚽, Fosso R. (A),
  • 45+1', Adewoye S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', Mijnans S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 54', 3 - 2, Sierhuis K. ⚽, Pinto I. (A),
  • 69', Jensen I. ↓, Daal R. ↑,
  • 70', Goes W. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
  • 70', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
  • 71', 3 - 3, de Wit M. ⚽,
  • 72', Peterson K. ↓, Hubner J. ↑,
  • 72', Lonwijk J. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
  • 86', 4 - 3, Brittijn P. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
  • 89', Sierhuis K. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
  • 89', Ihattaren M. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,
  • 90', Penetra ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
  • 90+3', Pinto I. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Fortuna Sittard
20.1%		Draw
22.9%		AZ Alkmaar
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.9% 24.3% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5% 23.9% 53.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
    •

    Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.65 ↑
    (4.07)    		 4.14 ↑
    (3.83)    		 1.67 ↓
    (1.77)    		 5.7%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). AZ will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 38.7% – 76.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - AZ (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 1.
    • Fortuna Sittard is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, AZ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, AZ is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in AZ: Clasie J. (Ankle Injury) Maikuma S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Dahlhaus J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Kasius D. (Injury) Meerdink M. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:41. (average 0.7:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 1:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    23.02.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard 1:0
    06.10.2024 Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar 1:0
    17.02.2024 Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    01.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard 4:0
    16.04.2023 Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar 0:3
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    17.12.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Almere City 2:3 ✺
    13.12.2025 Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard 1:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Ajax 1:3 ✺
    29.11.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo 1:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    18.12.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:0 ✺
    11.12.2025 Drita Gjilan - AZ Alkmaar 0:3 ✺
    07.12.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles 2:2 ✺
    03.12.2025 Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺
    30.11.2025 Twente - AZ Alkmaar 1:0 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV25212273:304365
    2Feyenoord25153755:352048
    3Ajax251111347:311644
    4Nijmegen25127661:431843
    5Twente251011441:261541
    6AZ Alkmaar25116842:40239
    7Sparta Rotterdam251141032:42-1037
    8Utrecht2597938:31734
    9Heerenveen2597942:43-134
    10Sittard25951139:45-632
    11Groningen25941233:35-231
    12G.A. Eagles25611838:39-129
    13Zwolle25771134:50-1628
    14FC Volendam25761229:41-1227
    15Excelsior25751326:42-1626
    16NAC Breda25571325:39-1422
    17Telstar25491231:41-1021
    18Heracles25521832:65-3317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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