Result
1:0
23/02/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 23
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 39 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (381/478) | 77% (331/428) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 70% (113/162) | 58% (58/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 11% (1/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 73% (22/30) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Guth R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Poku E. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 0, Buurmeester Z. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
- 63', Koopmeiners P. 🟨,
- 64', Halilovic A. ↓, Michut E. ↑,
- 64', Peterson K. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
- 64', Sinkgraven D. ↓, Rosier L. ↑,
- 71', Clasie J. ↓, Belic K. ↑,
- 71', Lahdo M. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
- 71', Dijks M. ↓, Dahlhaus J. ↑,
- 77', Da Cruz A. 🟨,
- 78', Poku E. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
- 78', Parrott T. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 82', Fosso R. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,
- 90', Bullaude E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
74.4% | Draw
16.9% | Fortuna Sittard
8.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.4) |
5.59 ↑
(4.8) |
10.93 ↑
(7.33) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 57.1% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches AZ won 4.
- AZ in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Fortuna Sittard has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match AZ is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in AZ: Addai J.
(Ankle Injury)
Clasie J.
(Injury)
Meerdink M.
(Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
van Bommel R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Mijnans S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Demir O.
(Injury)
Sierhuis K.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's AZ to win the game is with odds 1.35.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches AZ won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 40:12 (average 2.5:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams AZ won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23:4 (average 2.9:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Fortuna Sittard?
AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against AZ Alkmaar?
Fortuna Sittard has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
06.10.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:0
17.02.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:2
01.10.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Fortuna Sittard
4:0
16.04.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:3
22.01.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Fortuna Sittard
3:1
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:6 | 19 | 25 |
| 2 | PSV | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27:12 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Groningen | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Ajax | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 6 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:22 | -8 | 16 |
| 7 | Nijmegen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Twente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:18 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Sittard | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Telstar | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 | Heracles | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:30 | -23 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
