Result
2:0
04/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 29
- Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (376/452) | 71% (265/372) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (376/452) | 71% (265/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (28/55) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (95/130) | 52% (55/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Meerdink M. ⚽, Jensen I. (A),
- 15', 2 - 0, Mijnans S. ⚽, Kasius D. (A),
- 45+1', Marquez I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Marquez I. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,
- 46', Sierhuis K. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
- 54', Oukili Y. 🟨,
- 69', Duijvestijn L. 🟨,
- 71', Meerdink M. ↓, Parrott T. ↑,
- 72', Weslley Patati ↓, Clasie J. ↑,
- 75', Limnios D. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
- 77', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,
- 77', Dijkstra E. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
- 77', Jensen I. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
- 84', Kasius D. ↓, Maikuma S. ↑,
- 84', Brittijn P. ↓, Johnson O. ↑,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
72% | Draw
17.3% | Fortuna Sittard
10.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.34) |
5.49 ↑
(5.14) |
8.74 ↑
(7.95) |
5.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 17% – 68.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - AZ (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - AZ (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - AZ (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - AZ (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - AZ (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - AZ (1.09) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.75 - AZ (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - AZ (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 9 - 90%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, AZ is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in AZ: Chavez Garcia M.
(Injury)
Clasie J.
(Ankle Injury)
Goes W.
(Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Injury)
Owusu-Oduro R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Branderhorst M.
(Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Inactive)
Lonwijk J.
(Muscle Injury)
Marsman N.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Hornkamp J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Ihattaren M.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, AZ won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:16. (average 2.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:4. (average 2.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Fortuna Sittard?
AZ Alkmaar has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against AZ Alkmaar?
Fortuna Sittard has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
21.12.2025
Fortuna Sittard
-
AZ Alkmaar
4:3
23.02.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:0
06.10.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:0
17.02.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:2
01.10.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Fortuna Sittard
4:0
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 0 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Waalwijk | Willem II | |
| 2 | Almere City | De Graafschap | |
Semi-finalsFinal
