Result
2:2
07/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 15
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 India | Eurosport |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (331/413) | 80% (345/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (331/413) | 80% (345/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 41% (30/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (102/144) | 59% (55/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 1.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Meulensteen M. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 1, Parrott T. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
- 40', 2 - 1, Deijl M. (Own goal),
- 42', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Margaret R. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
- 61', James D. 🟨,
- 63', Salah Rahmouni Y. ↓, Linthorst E. ↑,
- 63', Edvardsen V. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
- 65', Goes W. 🟨,
- 65', Weslley Patati ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 65', Jensen I. ↓, Daal R. ↑,
- 75', Suray M. ↓, Breum J. ↑,
- 78', van Zwam G. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Meulensteen M. ⚽, Kramer J. (A),
- 84', Goes W. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
72% | Draw
16.6% | Go Ahead Eagles
11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-18.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Go Ahead Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.44) |
5.72 ↑
(4.83) |
8.26 ↑
(6.47) |
5.4%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 50%). Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - AZ (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - AZ (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 3 - 75%). Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 3.
- AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Go Ahead is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Ankle Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Knee Injury)
Meerdink M.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Go Ahead: Nauber G.
(Broken Leg)
Saathof P.
(Knee Injury)
Tengstedt S.
(Injury)
Weijenberg R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, AZ won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:15. (average 2.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 2.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Go Ahead Eagles?
AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Go Ahead Eagles won against AZ Alkmaar?
Go Ahead Eagles has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles were as follows:
04.05.2025
Go Ahead Eagles
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:3
21.04.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Go Ahead Eagles
1:2
27.10.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Go Ahead Eagles
2:2
12.05.2024
Go Ahead Eagles
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:3
13.08.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Go Ahead Eagles
5:1
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
