Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 29
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | SportKlub 9 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Exxen, TV 8 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (328/384) | 83% (325/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (328/384) | 83% (325/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (37/55) | 41% (14/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (75/98) | 71% (85/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/26) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.79 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 42% (8/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Bruns T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Penetra ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Podgoreanu S. (A),
- 65', Kasius D. ↓, Maikuma S. ↑,
- 72', van Bommel R. ↓, Lahdo M. ↑,
- 72', Meerdink M. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 77', De Keersmaecker B. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,
- 77', Hornkamp J. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 81', Sadiq I. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
- 83', Bruns T. ↓, Bruijn J. ↑,
- 83', Engels M. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
- 84', Bruijn J. 🟨,
- 89', Scheperman S. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
26.9% | Draw
26.9% | AZ Alkmaar
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heracles Almelo's performance.AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heracles Almelo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.54 ↓
(5.34) |
3.53 ↓
(4.14) |
2.05 ↑
(1.58) |
5.3%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). AZ will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 48.7% – 87.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Heracles Almelo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Heracles won 1.
- Recent matches Heracles is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- AZ is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Heracles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match AZ is a favorite.
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Laursen N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Calf Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Knock)
Mijnans S.
(Muscle Injury)
Wolfe D. M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Bruns T.
(Personal Reasons)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Heracles won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 25:56 (average 1.3:2.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:23 (average 2:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against AZ Alkmaar?
Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Heracles Almelo?
AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
27.02.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:3
01.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
03.04.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
5:0
28.09.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heracles Almelo
1:1
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nijmegen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | PSV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Groningen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Twente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Telstar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
