Result
14/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo 16.2% | Draw 21% | AZ Alkmaar 62.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.81 ↑ (5.8) |
4.52 ↑ (4.44) |
1.51 ↓ (1.53) |
5.4% (5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 2.
- Heracles has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- AZ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, AZ has had a series of away games.
- In this match, AZ is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 26:53. (average 1.3:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 2.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against AZ Alkmaar?
Heracles Almelo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Heracles Almelo?
AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
13.04.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:0
27.02.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:3
01.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
03.04.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
5:0
28.09.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heracles Almelo
1:1
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
2 | Feyenoord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
3 | Nijmegen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
4 | Utrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
5 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 9 |
6 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
7 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
10 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
11 | FC Volendam | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Telstar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
13 | G.A. Eagles | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Twente | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | NAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
17 | Heerenveen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
18 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie