Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 29
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | Nova Sports Start |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
Serbia | SportKlub 9 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Exxen, TV 8 |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.42 | 0.58 |
Ball Possession |
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51% | 49% |
Total shots |
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7 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 3 |
Passes |
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85% (328/384) | 83% (325/391) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.42 | 0.58 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.82 | 0.32 |
Total shots |
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7 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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2 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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23 | 23 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 13 |
Passes |
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85% (328/384) | 83% (325/391) |
Long passes |
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67% (37/55) | 41% (14/34) |
Passes in final third |
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77% (75/98) | 71% (85/119) |
Crosses |
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4% (1/26) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.87 | 0.79 |
Fouls |
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13 | 10 |
Tackles |
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57% (13/23) | 42% (8/19) |
Duels won |
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50 | 45 |
Clearances Total |
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23 | 27 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.32 | 0.82 |
Goals prevented |
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0.32 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Bruns T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Penetra ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Podgoreanu S. (A),
- 65', Kasius D. ↓, Maikuma S. ↑,
- 72', van Bommel R. ↓, Lahdo M. ↑,
- 72', Meerdink M. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 77', De Keersmaecker B. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,
- 77', Hornkamp J. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 81', Sadiq I. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
- 83', Bruns T. ↓, Bruijn J. ↑,
- 83', Engels M. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
- 84', Bruijn J. 🟨,
- 89', Scheperman S. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo 26.9% | Draw 26.9% | AZ Alkmaar 46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heracles Almelo's performance.AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heracles Almelo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.54 ↓ (5.34) |
3.53 ↓ (4.14) |
2.05 ↑ (1.58) |
5.3% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). AZ will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 48.7% – 87.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Heracles Almelo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Heracles won 1.
- Recent matches Heracles is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- AZ is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Heracles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match AZ is a favorite.
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Laursen N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Calf Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Knock)
Mijnans S.
(Muscle Injury)
Wolfe D. M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Bruns T.
(Personal Reasons)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Heracles won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 25:56 (average 1.3:2.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:23 (average 2:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against AZ Alkmaar?
Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Heracles Almelo?
AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
27.02.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:3
01.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
03.04.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
5:0
28.09.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heracles Almelo
1:1
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie