Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 5
- Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | Sportsnet+ |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | TV Start |
Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.36 | 2.60 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 25 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
83% (339/409) | 85% (318/375) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.36 | 2.60 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.51 | 1.99 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 25 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 12 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
83% (339/409) | 85% (318/375) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (22/54) | 51% (23/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (81/116) | 80% (103/128) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (4/24) | 28% (5/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.59 | 1.21 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (10/19) | 58% (11/19) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 42 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.99 | 1.51 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.01 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Penetra ⚽,
- 11', Penetra 🟨,
- 28', Kasius D. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Mirani D. ⚽, Limbombe B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', de Wit M. 🟨,
- 69', Weslley Patati ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
- 69', Daal R. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 70', Borges Sanches Y. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 70', Bruns T. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
- 74', Clasie J. 🟨,
- 74', Hrustic A. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 2, Meerdink M. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
- 79', Mijnans S. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
- 83', Hrustic A. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,
- 83', Limbombe B. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 84', van der Kust D. ↓, Ould Chikh W. ↑,
- 84', Smit K. ↓, Koopmeiners P. ↑,
- 84', Meerdink M. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
- 90+1', Zeefuik L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo 17.8% | Draw 22.5% | AZ Alkmaar 59.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.35 ↓ (5.8) |
4.25 ↓ (4.44) |
1.62 ↑ (1.53) |
4% (5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 19 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 2.
- Recent form of Heracles has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- AZ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, AZ has had a series of away games.
- In this match, AZ is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Engels M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Maikuma S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Parrott T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 26:53. (average 1.3:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 2.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against AZ Alkmaar?
Heracles Almelo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Heracles Almelo?
AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
13.04.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:0
27.02.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:3
01.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
03.04.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
AZ Alkmaar
5:0
28.09.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heracles Almelo
1:1
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Feyenoord | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 19 |
2 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 16 |
3 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Nijmegen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 12 |
6 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Utrecht | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 10 |
8 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Sittard | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
10 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:19 | -11 | 9 |
12 | FC Volendam | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Telstar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
14 | Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
15 | NAC Breda | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
16 | Heerenveen | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
17 | Excelsior | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
18 | Heracles | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie