Heracles Almelo vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar
14/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Heracles Almelo
16.2%
Draw
21%
AZ Alkmaar
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 21.4% 62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1% 21% 63.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.81
    (5.8)
    4.52
    (4.44)
    1.51
    (1.53)
    5.4%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 2.
    • Heracles has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • AZ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, AZ has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, AZ is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 26:53. (average 1.3:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 2.1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar 1:0
    27.02.2025 Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar 2:3
    01.12.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Heracles Almelo 1:0
    03.04.2024 Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar 5:0
    28.09.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Heracles Almelo 1:1
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    31.08.2025 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    28.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia 4:1
    21.08.2025 Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    17.08.2025 Volendam - AZ Alkmaar 2:2
    14.08.2025 Vaduz - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ajax532010:4611
    2Feyenoord33008:179
    3Nijmegen430114:4109
    4Utrecht430111:389
    5PSV430112:579
    6AZ Alkmaar32107:347
    7Groningen42029:906
    8Zwolle42024:5-16
    9Sparta Rotterdam42026:11-56
    10Sittard31116:604
    11FC Volendam40406:604
    12Telstar41124:6-24
    13G.A. Eagles40316:9-33
    14Twente41032:5-33
    15NAC Breda41032:7-53
    16Excelsior41033:11-83
    17Heerenveen40225:7-22
    18Heracles40041:14-130

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