Result
3:3
29/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 27
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Japan | Fuji TV Next |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | SportKlub 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Thailand | 3BB Sports 1, AIS PLAY |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (359/421) | 85% (390/459) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (359/421) | 85% (390/459) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (16/46) | 62% (28/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (62/89) | 75% (117/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.63 | -1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Sadiq I. ⚽, Goes W. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, van Crooij V. ⚽, Lyratzis L. (A),
- 32', 1 - 2, Poku E. ⚽, Parrott T. (A),
- 34', Belic K. 🟨,
- 43', Linssen B. 🟨,
- 43', Goes W. 🟨,
- 45', Hansen S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 3, Parrott T. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
- 57', Linssen B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 58', Larsen L. O. ↓, Sano K. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 3, Shiogai K. ⚽, Ouwejan T. (A),
- 70', Sadiq I. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
- 70', Belic K. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 3, van Crooij V. ⚽, Hansen S. (A),
- 76', Hansen S. ↓, Ouaissa S. ↑,
- 76', Sano K. 🟨,
- 81', Martins Indi B. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
- 81', Parrott T. ↓, van Bommel R. ↑,
- 83', Ouwejan T. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 84', Lyratzis L. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
25.9% | Draw
26.6% | AZ Alkmaar
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↑
(3.35) |
3.54 ↓
(3.61) |
2.01 ↓
(2.07) |
5.6%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). AZ will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 31% – 73.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Recently AZ have a series of guest games.
- AZ will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in AZ: Daal R.
(Inactive)
Lahdo M.
(Foot Injury)
Mijnans S.
(Muscle Injury)
Penetra
(Red Card)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Marquez I.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Schouten L.
(Injury)
van Bommel R.
(Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21:32 (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:17 (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against AZ Alkmaar?
NEC Nijmegen has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against NEC Nijmegen?
AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
17.08.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
28.04.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:3
06.12.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
NEC Nijmegen
Abandoned
21.05.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:3
01.09.2022
AZ Alkmaar
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Nijmegen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Utrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Zwolle | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Telstar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Twente | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Heerenveen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
