Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 7
- Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (238/323) | 75% (320/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (238/323) | 75% (320/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (34/70) | 42% (35/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (65/119) | 51% (39/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (20/24) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', de Wit M. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Onal B. ⚽, Linssen B. (A),
- 29', Goes W. 🟨,
- 44', Koopmeiners P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
- 46', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
- 51', Meerdink M. 🟨,
- 58', Ouwejan T. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Sadiq I. ⚽,
- 64', de Wit M. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
- 69', Clasie J. 🟨,
- 71', Kaplan A. 🟨,
- 74', Meerdink M. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Proper D. ⚽, Linssen B. (A),
- 81', Ogawa K. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
- 81', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
- 82', Goes W. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
- 85', Clasie J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
30.4% | Draw
23.6% | AZ Alkmaar
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)The chances for AZ Alkmaar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↓
(3.33) |
4.04 ↑
(3.65) |
2.11 ↑
(2.04) |
4.2%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). AZ will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 38.6% – 83.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.
- In recent matches, Nijmegen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AZ is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nijmegen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- AZ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Chery T.
(Red Card)
Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Maikuma S.
(Knee Injury)
Parrott T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against AZ Alkmaar?
NEC Nijmegen has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against NEC Nijmegen?
AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
29.03.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
AZ Alkmaar
3:3
17.08.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
28.04.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:3
06.12.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
NEC Nijmegen
Abandoned
21.05.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:3
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | PSV | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27:12 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Twente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
