NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Football Dutch Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar
Result
3:3
29/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 27
  • Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaSportsnet+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanFuji TV Next
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 4
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1, Sport TV2
spainSpainGolStadium
thailandThailand3BB Sports 1, AIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeyExxen
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldDisney+, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.01
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
85% (359/421)85% (390/459)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.841.37
Total shots
159
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1432
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
99
Passes
85% (359/421)85% (390/459)
Long passes
35% (16/46)62% (28/45)
Passes in final third
70% (62/89)75% (117/156)
Crosses
24% (5/21)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.37
Fouls
99
Tackles
58% (14/24)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4452
Clearances Total
1724
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.371.84
Goals prevented
-1.63-1.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Sadiq I. ⚽, Goes W. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, van Crooij V. ⚽, Lyratzis L. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 2, Poku E. ⚽, Parrott T. (A),
  • 34', Belic K. 🟨,
  • 43', Linssen B. 🟨,
  • 43', Goes W. 🟨,
  • 45', Hansen S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 3, Parrott T. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
  • 57', Linssen B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
  • 58', Larsen L. O. ↓, Sano K. ↑,
  • 63', 2 - 3, Shiogai K. ⚽, Ouwejan T. (A),
  • 70', Sadiq I. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
  • 70', Belic K. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
  • 71', 3 - 3, van Crooij V. ⚽, Hansen S. (A),
  • 76', Hansen S. ↓, Ouaissa S. ↑,
  • 76', Sano K. 🟨,
  • 81', Martins Indi B. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
  • 81', Parrott T. ↓, van Bommel R. ↑,
  • 83', Ouwejan T. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
  • 84', Lyratzis L. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
25.9%		Draw
26.6%		AZ Alkmaar
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 26.1% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 25.8% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
    •

    NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.64 ↑
    (3.35)    		 3.54 ↓
    (3.61)    		 2.01 ↓
    (2.07)    		 5.6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). AZ will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 31% – 73.8%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Recently AZ have a series of guest games.
    • AZ will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in AZ: Daal R. (Inactive) Lahdo M. (Foot Injury) Mijnans S. (Muscle Injury) Penetra (Red Card) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nijmegen: Marquez I. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Schouten L. (Injury) van Bommel R. (Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21:32 (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:17 (average 0.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    17.08.2024 AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    28.04.2024 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 0:3
    06.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen Abandoned
    21.05.2023 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 0:3
    01.09.2022 AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen 1:1
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    15.03.2025 Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen 0:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles 2:3 ✺
    01.03.2025 Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen 0:0 ✺
    23.02.2025 Twente - NEC Nijmegen 2:0 ✺
    16.02.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Almere City 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    13.03.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - AZ Alkmaar 3:1 ✺
    06.03.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Tottenham Hotspur 1:0 ✺
    02.03.2025 Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar 3:1 ✺
    27.02.2025 Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺
    23.02.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard 1:0 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

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          Eredivisie (Relegation)
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