Result
1:3
31/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 21
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (281/396) | 72% (300/416) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (281/396) | 72% (300/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (36/73) | 36% (33/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (45/91) | 65% (113/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.71 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', Lebreton N. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Chery T. ⚽, Lebreton N. (A),
- 12', 0 - 2, Onal B. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
- 40', 1 - 2, Parrott T. ⚽, Jensen I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 3, Sano K. ⚽,
- 66', Daal R. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 66', Dekker M. ↓, Maikuma S. ↑,
- 66', Sin M. ↓, Hornkamp J. ↑,
- 66', Jensen I. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
- 72', de Wit M. 🟨,
- 75', Linssen B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
- 75', Lebreton N. ↓, Sandler P. ↑,
- 75', Ouaissa S. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 77', Sano K. 🟨,
- 82', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
- 83', Boogaard K. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
- 90+1', Chery T. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
50.2% | Draw
24.1% | NEC Nijmegen
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NEC Nijmegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.12) |
3.9
(3.9) |
3.68 ↑
(2.92) |
5.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 19.5% – 68.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 2.
- AZ is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nijmegen is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, AZ is the team to beat.
- There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
Meerdink M.
(Groin Injury)
Mijnans S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: El Kachati Y.
(Wrist Injury)
Entius F.
(Knee Injury)
Nejasmic D.
(Injury)
Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Linssen B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against NEC Nijmegen?
AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against AZ Alkmaar?
NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
28.09.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:1
29.03.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
AZ Alkmaar
3:3
17.08.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
28.04.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:3
06.12.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
NEC Nijmegen
Abandoned
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
