Result
28/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
31.5% | Draw
23.3% | AZ Alkmaar
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↓
(3.33) |
4.08 ↑
(3.65) |
2.11 ↑
(2.04) |
4.8%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 1 - 20%). AZ will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.
- In recent matches, Nijmegen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AZ is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- AZ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against AZ Alkmaar?
NEC Nijmegen has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against NEC Nijmegen?
AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
29.03.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
AZ Alkmaar
3:3
17.08.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
28.04.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:3
06.12.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
NEC Nijmegen
Abandoned
21.05.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:3
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | PSV | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Ajax | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Groningen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Sittard | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Nijmegen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Heracles | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:18 | -15 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
