AZ Alkmaar vs Slovan Bratislava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.340.16
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
303
Shots on target
111
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
120
Passes
88% (467/531)80% (270/336)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.340.16
xG on target (xGOT)
2.890.24
Total shots
303
Shots on target
111
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
232
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
120
Touches in opposition box
658
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
88% (467/531)80% (270/336)
Long passes
67% (44/66)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
84% (198/237)60% (34/57)
Crosses
22% (6/27)0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
2.000.17
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
1612
Tackles
78% (18/23)50% (11/22)
Duels won
4748
Clearances
135
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
19
xGOT faced
0.242.89
Goals prevented
0.241.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Blackman C. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Mijnans S. , Kasius D. (A),
  • 45+5', Mijnans S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Sadiq I. 🟨,
  • 58', Takac D. 🟨,
  • 64', Marcelli N. , Wimmer K. ,
  • 64', Sadiq I. , Parrott T. ,
  • 72', Weslley Patati , Sin M. ,
  • 72', Jensen I. , Daal R. ,
  • 74', Ibrahim R. , Mak R. ,
  • 74', Blackman C. , Yirajang A. ,
  • 77', Bajric K. 🟨,
  • 83', Ignatenko D. 🟨,
  • 85', Sporar A. , Gajdos A. ,
  • 85', Savvidis K. , Mustafic A. ,
  • 87', Cruz S. 🟥,
  • 90', Smit K. , Kwakman D. ,

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
74.6%
Draw
15.8%
Slovan Bratislava
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.2% 17.2% 11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 17.5% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Slovan Bratislava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • AZ Alkmaar - Slovan Bratislava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.32)
    6
    (5.48)
    10.09
    (8.11)
    5.3%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Slovan Bratislava?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 23 - 88.5%). Slovan Bratislava will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 76.2%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, AZ has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Slovan Bratislava is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in AZ: Clasie J. (Inactive) Maikuma S. (Knee Injury) Meerdink M. (Injury) Penetra (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Slovan Bratislava: Kukharevych M. (Muscle Injury) Weiss V. jr. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Weslley Patati (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    18.10.2025 Ajax - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    05.10.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Telstar 2:1
    02.10.2025 AEK Larnaca - AZ Alkmaar 4:0
    28.09.2025 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    24.09.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:2
    Latest results of Slovan Bratislava
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2