AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
44.2%
Draw
27.5%
Sparta Prague
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 27.7% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 29.2% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for AZ Alkmaar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Prague Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.15)
    3.39
    (3.43)
    3.39
    (3.39)
    6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • AZ has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sparta Prague is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • AZ could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    04.03.2026 AZ Alkmaar - Telstar 2:1
    01.03.2026 Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar 2:0
    26.02.2026 AZ Alkmaar - Noah Yerevan 4:0
    19.02.2026 Noah Yerevan - AZ Alkmaar 1:0
    Latest results of Sparta Prague
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2