Result
3:2
25/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Conference League - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 2.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (285/376) | 80% (391/489) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 2.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (285/376) | 80% (391/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 36% (26/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (80/129) | 67% (76/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.49 | 2.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', Mijnans S. 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Steijn S. (Pen),
- 40', 0 - 2, Steijn S. ⚽, Vlap M. (A),
- 43', 1 - 2, Meerdink M. ⚽,
- 45+4', van Wolfswinkel R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Penetra ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
- 46', Poku E. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 46', Rots D. ↓, Taha Y. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 2, van Bommel R. ⚽, Goes W. (A),
- 65', Taha Y. 🟨,
- 69', Hilgers M. 🟨,
- 74', Kuipers B. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 74', Hilgers M. ↓, Lagerbielke G. ↑,
- 75', Maikuma S. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
- 80', Meerdink M. ↓, Parrott T. ↑,
- 86', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Sadiq I. ⚽,
- 90+4', Sadiq I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
58.2% | Draw
22.7% | Twente
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
AZ Alkmaar - Twente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.77) |
4.18 ↑
(4.03) |
4.92 ↑
(4.11) |
5.3%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Twente?
Users Predictions:
AZ Alkmaar will win
(16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- AZ is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
- Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 3.
- AZ is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Twente has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, AZ is the team to beat.
- There will not play in AZ: Addai J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Twente: Lammers S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Van Hoorenbeeck A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in AZ: Belic K.
(Ribs Injury)
- There are questionable in Twente: Hilgers M.
(Inactive)
Unnerstall L.
(Inactive)
- We predict that AZ will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:22. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:6. (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Twente?
AZ Alkmaar has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against AZ Alkmaar?
Twente has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Twente were as follows:
14.05.2025
Twente
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:3
21.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Twente
1:0
05.05.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Twente
2:1
13.01.2024
Twente
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:1
19.03.2023
Twente
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:1
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nijmegen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | PSV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Groningen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Twente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Telstar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
