Result
2:1
13/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- World Cup - Qualification
- Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | DAZN |
Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | iQIYI, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Europe | UEFA TV |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
Norway | TV2 Play |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | Exxen |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine, Suspilne Sport |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (438/517) | 79% (310/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (438/517) | 79% (310/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (17/33) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (133/187) | 70% (58/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 2.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 30', 1 - 0, Gutsulyak O. ⚽, Malinovskyi R. (A),
- 45+1', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
- 45+1', Mahammadaliyev S. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Mykolenko V. (Own goal), Cafarquliyev E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Konoplya Y. ↓, Mykhaylichenko B. ↑,
- 50', Mykhaylichenko B. 🟨,
- 61', Nuriyev A. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Malinovskyi R. ⚽, Gutsulyak O. (A),
- 71', Ocheretko O. ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
- 71', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Shaparenko M. ↑,
- 85', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Bondar V. ↑,
- 85', Bayramov T. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
- 85', Akhundzade N. ↓, Emreli M. ↑,
- 85', Huseynov A. ↓, Aliyev Q. ↑,
- 85', Gutsulyak O. ↓, Kaliuzhnyi I. ↑,
- 90+2', Bondarenko A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Khaybulaev A. ↓, Khachayev M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ukraine 79.4% | Draw 14.4% | Azerbaijan 6.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ukraine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ukraine's performance.Azerbaijan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Ukraine - Azerbaijan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.21 ↓ (1.27) |
6.71 ↑ (5.75) |
15.73 ↑ (10) |
3.8% (6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ukraine - Azerbaijan?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Ukraine will win (votes: 30 - 85.7%). Azerbaijan will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ukraine: 74.1% – 97.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -2 - Ukraine (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ukraine will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego.
- In this match, Ukraine is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ukraine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ukraine won against Azerbaijan?
Ukraine has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Azerbaijan won against Ukraine?
Azerbaijan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ukraine - Azerbaijan were as follows:
09.09.2025
Azerbaijan
-
Ukraine
1:1
Latest results of Ukraine
Latest results of Azerbaijan
FIFA World Cup Table
South America | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Argentina | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31:10 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | Colombia | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Uruguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Brazil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24:17 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Paraguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Bolivia | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 17:35 | -18 | 20 |
| 8 | Venezuela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:28 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Peru | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 6:21 | -15 | 12 |
| 10 | Chile | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ World Championship
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