Ukraine vs Azerbaijan, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup Ukraine - Azerbaijan
Result
2:1
13/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 7
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine, Suspilne Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.65
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
85% (438/517)79% (310/391)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.560.02
Total shots
228
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
116
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
279
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
712
Passes
85% (438/517)79% (310/391)
Long passes
52% (17/33)36% (22/61)
Passes in final third
71% (133/187)70% (58/83)
Crosses
24% (7/29)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.57
Throw-ins
1410
Fouls
127
Tackles
59% (10/17)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3746
Clearances
1242
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.022.56
Goals prevented
0.020.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Gutsulyak O. , Malinovskyi R. (A),
  • 45+1', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Mahammadaliyev S. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Mykolenko V. (Own goal), Cafarquliyev E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Konoplya Y. , Mykhaylichenko B. ,
  • 50', Mykhaylichenko B. 🟨,
  • 61', Nuriyev A. , Qurbanly M. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Malinovskyi R. , Gutsulyak O. (A),
  • 71', Ocheretko O. , Bondarenko A. ,
  • 71', Malinovskyi R. , Shaparenko M. ,
  • 85', Yarmolyuk Y. , Bondar V. ,
  • 85', Bayramov T. , Ahmadzada R. ,
  • 85', Akhundzade N. , Emreli M. ,
  • 85', Huseynov A. , Aliyev Q. ,
  • 85', Gutsulyak O. , Kaliuzhnyi I. ,
  • 90+2', Bondarenko A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Khaybulaev A. , Khachayev M. ,

Chances of winning


Ukraine
79.4%
Draw
14.4%
Azerbaijan
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.2% 16.4% 9.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ukraine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ukraine's performance.
  • Azerbaijan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Ukraine - Azerbaijan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.27)
    6.71
    (5.75)
    15.73
    (10)
    3.8%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Ukraine - Azerbaijan?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Ukraine will win (votes: 30 - 85.7%). Azerbaijan will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ukraine: 74.1%97.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2 - Ukraine (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ukraine will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego.
    • In this match, Ukraine is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ukraine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ukraine - Azerbaijan were as follows:
    09.09.2025 Azerbaijan - Ukraine 1:1
    Latest results of Ukraine
    10.10.2025 Iceland - Ukraine 3:5
    09.09.2025 Azerbaijan - Ukraine 1:1
    05.09.2025 Ukraine - France 0:2
    10.06.2025 New Zealand - Ukraine 1:2
    07.06.2025 Canada - Ukraine 4:2
    Latest results of Azerbaijan
    10.10.2025 France - Azerbaijan 3:0
    09.09.2025 Azerbaijan - Ukraine 1:1
    05.09.2025 Iceland - Azerbaijan 5:0
    10.06.2025 Azerbaijan - Hungary 1:2
    07.06.2025 Latvia - Azerbaijan 0:0
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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