Matsumoto Yamaga vs Azul Claro Numazu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu
Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
82
Yellow Cards
15
Total shots
78
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
82
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Murakoshi K. , Higuchi D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Hayashi M. ,
  • 59', Mukai H. , Akatsuka M. ,
  • 59', Mihara S. , Lucas Sena ,
  • 68', Taki Y. 🟨,
  • 71', Yamamoto K. , Kawakami K. ,
  • 71', Taki Y. , Saso K. ,
  • 74', Suzuki K. 🟨,
  • 74', Yanagimachi K. , Saito M. ,
  • 74', Tokunaga K. , Martinez E. ,
  • 83', Shirawachi K. , Weverton ,
  • 84', Murakoshi K. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 84', Yamamoto R. , Ogawa D. ,
  • 85', Lucas Sena 🟨,
  • 90+1', Mori Y. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hayashi M. , Kokubu R. ,
  • 90+3', Weverton 🟨,
  • 90+5', Martinez E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
49.2%
Draw
28%
Azul Claro Numazu
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 30% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 29.7% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.
  • Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matsumoto Yamaga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.14)
    3.26
    (3.1)
    3.99
    (3.52)
    9.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Matsumoto Yamaga will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2.
    • Matsumoto Yamaga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Azul Claro Numazu has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Matsumoto Yamaga is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Azul Claro Numazu - Matsumoto Yamaga 1:1
    24.11.2024 Azul Claro Numazu - Matsumoto Yamaga 0:1
    16.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu 4:0
    22.10.2023 Azul Claro Numazu - Matsumoto Yamaga 3:1
    16.04.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu 3:4
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Azul Claro Numazu
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure29186536:171960
    2Tochigi City29176648:311757
    3Kagoshima Utd29159556:292754
    4Tegevajaro Miyazaki29148742:34850
    5Osaka29147839:271249
    6Nara Club29129839:33645
    7Tochigi SC291271031:28343
    8Giravanz Kitakyushu291241330:29140
    9Kanazawa281151233:34-138
    10Fukushima Utd291081148:59-1138
    11Sagamihara299101029:39-1037
    12Yamaga28991031:32-136
    13Gainare Tottori291061328:32-436
    14Gifu29981236:41-535
    15Ryukyu29971331:38-734
    16Kochi United29971337:50-1334
    17Nagano29781425:39-1429
    18Kusatsu296101338:46-828
    19Kamatamare29771534:42-828
    20Azul Claro Numazu29491631:42-1121

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