Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Murakoshi K. ⚽, Higuchi D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 0, Hayashi M. ⚽,
- 59', Mukai H. ↓, Akatsuka M. ↑,
- 59', Mihara S. ↓, Lucas Sena ↑,
- 68', Taki Y. 🟨,
- 71', Yamamoto K. ↓, Kawakami K. ↑,
- 71', Taki Y. ↓, Saso K. ↑,
- 74', Suzuki K. 🟨,
- 74', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Saito M. ↑,
- 74', Tokunaga K. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 83', Shirawachi K. ↓, Weverton ↑,
- 84', Murakoshi K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 84', Yamamoto R. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
- 85', Lucas Sena 🟨,
- 90+1', Mori Y. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hayashi M. ↓, Kokubu R. ↑,
- 90+3', Weverton 🟨,
- 90+5', Martinez E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Matsumoto Yamaga 49.2% | Draw 28% | Azul Claro Numazu 22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matsumoto Yamaga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.85 ↓ (2.14) |
3.26 ↑ (3.1) |
3.99 ↑ (3.52) |
9.8% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Matsumoto Yamaga will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2.
- Matsumoto Yamaga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Azul Claro Numazu has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Matsumoto Yamaga is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Azul Claro Numazu?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Azul Claro Numazu won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Azul Claro Numazu has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu were as follows:
23.02.2025
Azul Claro Numazu
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
1:1
24.11.2024
Azul Claro Numazu
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
0:1
16.06.2024
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Azul Claro Numazu
4:0
22.10.2023
Azul Claro Numazu
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
3:1
16.04.2023
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Azul Claro Numazu
3:4
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Latest results of Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 43:18 | 25 | 69 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63:35 | 28 | 61 |
| 4 | Osaka | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 46:30 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 45:37 | 8 | 53 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 38:32 | 6 | 50 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 2 | 49 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 51:62 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Sagamihara | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 43 |
| 12 | Gifu | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 33:42 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Yamaga | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Nagano | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:45 | -16 | 35 |
| 17 | Kochi United | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42:54 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 38:53 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 35:49 | -14 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation