Matsumoto Yamaga vs Azul Claro Numazu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu
Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
82
Yellow Cards
15
Total shots
78
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
82
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Murakoshi K. , Higuchi D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Hayashi M. ,
  • 59', Mukai H. , Akatsuka M. ,
  • 59', Mihara S. , Lucas Sena ,
  • 68', Taki Y. 🟨,
  • 71', Yamamoto K. , Kawakami K. ,
  • 71', Taki Y. , Saso K. ,
  • 74', Suzuki K. 🟨,
  • 74', Yanagimachi K. , Saito M. ,
  • 74', Tokunaga K. , Martinez E. ,
  • 83', Shirawachi K. , Weverton ,
  • 84', Murakoshi K. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 84', Yamamoto R. , Ogawa D. ,
  • 85', Lucas Sena 🟨,
  • 90+1', Mori Y. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hayashi M. , Kokubu R. ,
  • 90+3', Weverton 🟨,
  • 90+5', Martinez E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
49.2%
Draw
28%
Azul Claro Numazu
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 30% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 29.7% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.
  • Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matsumoto Yamaga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.14)
    3.26
    (3.1)
    3.99
    (3.52)
    9.8%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Matsumoto Yamaga will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2.
    • Matsumoto Yamaga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Azul Claro Numazu has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Matsumoto Yamaga is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Azul Claro Numazu - Matsumoto Yamaga 1:1
    24.11.2024 Azul Claro Numazu - Matsumoto Yamaga 0:1
    16.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu 4:0
    22.10.2023 Azul Claro Numazu - Matsumoto Yamaga 3:1
    16.04.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu 3:4
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Azul Claro Numazu
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure33216643:182569
    2Tochigi City33207656:322467
    3Kagoshima Utd331710663:352861
    4Osaka33177946:301658
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki32169752:371557
    6Kanazawa331651245:37853
    7Nara Club331491043:38551
    8Giravanz Kitakyushu331551338:32650
    9Tochigi SC331471233:31249
    10Fukushima Utd331281351:62-1144
    11Sagamihara3311101232:42-1043
    12Gifu331181443:50-741
    13Gainare Tottori331161633:42-939
    14Ryukyu331071634:46-1237
    15Yamaga32991432:37-536
    16Nagano33981629:45-1635
    17Kochi United33971739:57-1834
    18Kusatsu337101642:54-1231
    19Kamatamare33871838:53-1531
    20Azul Claro Numazu33591935:49-1424

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation