Babrungas Plungė vs BFA Vilnius – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Lithuanian Division 2 Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius
Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Lyga - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaFutbols TV

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Borja P. ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Ajayi S. B. ,
  • 44', 2 - 1, Perveinis M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Baguzas E. ,
  • 83', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Babrungas Plungė
50.6%
Draw
24.7%
BFA Vilnius
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 23.3% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 22.5% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Babrungas Plungė's performance.
  • BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BFA Vilnius might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Babrungas Plungė that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BFA Vilnius could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.26)
    3.71
    (3.9)
    3.7
    (2.5)
    9.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Babrungas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 2.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Babrungas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius were as follows:
    31.05.2025 BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė 3:2
    23.08.2024 Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius 3:1
    30.03.2024 BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė 3:2
    26.08.2023 BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė 1:2
    07.04.2023 Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius 4:1
    Latest results of Babrungas Plungė
    Latest results of BFA Vilnius
    Lithuanian Division 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Transinvest ✔ 27241277:195873
    2Neptunas27184561:263558
    3Tauras Taurage27177353:193458
    4Babrungas27157552:341852
    5BFA Vilnius27146740:32848
    6Jonava27118826:21541
    7Zalgiris 227118849:43641
    8Atmosfera271251045:321341
    9FK Minija271031426:38-1233
    10Hegelmann Litauen 227861334:46-1230
    11Kauno Zalgiris 227831639:49-1027
    12Nevezis Kedainiai27651628:51-2323
    13Ekranas27721833:55-2223
    14FK Panevezys 227631826:67-4121
    15BE1 NFA27561625:50-2521
    16Siauliai 227621934:66-3220

          Promotion ~ A Lyga
          Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: )
          I Lyga (Relegation)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Transinvest is Qualified for A Lyga