Bačka Topola vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Bačka Topola - Lugano
Result
4:1
07/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 12
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 15
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.980.86
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
219
Shots on Goal
93
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
44
Free Kicks
1322
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
38
Throw-ins
1915
Goalkeeper Saves
25
Fouls
2213
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
42
Total Passes
361467
Completed Passes
277383
Crosses Completed
54
Interceptions
810

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Stanic P. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Radin M. 🟨,
  • 57', Cirkovic A. 🟨,
  • 58', Belhadj M. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Pantovic M. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Belhadj M. ,
  • 62', 3 - 1, Stanic P. , Stevanovic D. (A),
  • 64', Marques M. , Valenzuela M. ,
  • 64', Dos Santos D. , Bislimi U. ,
  • 64', Belhadj M. , Bottani M. ,
  • 70', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 71', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
  • 72', Djakovac I. , Pejic A. ,
  • 74', Mahou H. , Cimignani Y. ,
  • 83', Banjac M. , Sos B. ,
  • 83', Grgic A. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 83', 4 - 1, Pantovic M. , Cirkovic A. (A),
  • 89', Sos B. 🟨,
  • 89', Bottani M. 🟥,
  • 90', Pantovic M. , Mboungou V. ,

Chances of winning


Bačka Topola
18.6%
Draw
22.6%
Lugano
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 26% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 25.2% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bačka Topola's form might have worsened.
  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bačka Topola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bačka Topola - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.06
    (3.45)
    4.15
    (3.55)
    1.59
    (1.95)
    6.7%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Bačka Topola - Lugano?
  • Users Predictions: Lugano will win (44 of 47 users predict this - 93.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.63%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Bačka Topola is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bačka Topola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lugano is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bačka Topola: Kuveljic N. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Bačka Topola
    Latest results of Lugano
    03.11.2024 Lugano - Yverdon 2:0
    31.10.2024 Grasshoppers - Lugano 1:1
    27.10.2024 Lugano - Young Boys 2:0
    24.10.2024 Mladá Boleslav - Lugano 0:1
    20.10.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 2:0
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    8ByeRFS
    9ShelbourneBye
    13VikingurBye
    15ZalgirisBye
    16ByeLinfield
    17BreidablikBye
    21BuducnostBye
    22ByeMilsami
    24ByeVirtus
    25DritaBye
    29TNSBye
    30ByeDifferdange
    31LevadiaBye
    32ByeIberia 1999
    33O. LjubljanaBye
    34ByeInter Escaldes
    35Din. MinskBye
    36ByeEgnatia
    40ByeNoah
    41StrasbourgBye
    45VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    46MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    47HB TorshavnBye
    48ByeBrondby
    49SilkeborgBye
    50ByeKA Akureyri
    51Novi PazarBye
    52ByeJagiellonia
    53ZiraBye
    54ByeHajduk Split
    55Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    56ByeDinamo Tirana
    57Shakhtar DonetskBye
    64ByeServette
    65AnderlechtBye
    68ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    69ArisBye
    70ByePuskas Academy
    71AEK Athens FCBye
    72ByeH. Beer Sheva
    73VikingBye
    74ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    75Cherno MoreBye
    76ByeBasaksehir
    77FK SarajevoBye
    78ByeUniv. Craiova
    79HiberniansBye
    80ByeTrnava
    81Crystal PalaceBye
    88ByeFredrikstad
    89LuganoBye
    92ByeCelje
    93OstravaBye
    95Austria ViennaBye
    96ByeSpaeri
    97RakowBye
    98ByeZilina
    99ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    100ByeMaccabi Haifa
    101Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    102ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    103ArdaBye
    104NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0
    105OleksandriyaBye
    106ByePartizan
    108ByeHibernian
    112ByeLegia
    113Levski SofiaBye
    115BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    116ByeSabah Baku
    117IlvesBye
    118ByeAZ Alkmaar
    119VaduzBye
    120ByeDungannon
    121Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    122Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    123PaksBye
    124ByeMaribor
    128ByeFiorentina
    129AIKBye
    130MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    131Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    132ByeGyor
    133DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    134ByeSK Rapid
    135Dundee UtdBye
    136ByeUNA Strassen
    137Radnicki 1923Bye
    138SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    139KosiceBye
    140UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    144ByeRayo Vallecano
    145La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    146ByeLausanne
    147Zimbru ChisinauBye
    148ByeFC Astana
    149St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    150KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    152ByeBesiktas
    153LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    154ByePrishtina
    155VarazdinBye
    156ByeSanta Clara
    157FC BallkaniBye
    158FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    159St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    160ByeShamrock Rovers
    161RosenborgBye
    162ByeBanga
    163HammarbyBye
    164ByeCharleroi
    168ByeMainz
    169AktobeBye
    170ByeSparta Prague
    171Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    172ByeU. Cluj
    173Riga FCBye
    174Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    175SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    176ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    177HackenBye
    184ByeCFR Cluj
    185Wolfsberger ACBye
    189ArazBye
    190ByeAris
    191OmoniaBye
    192Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeRFS
    5ShelbourneBye
    7VikingurBye
    8ZalgirisLinfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    9BreidablikBye
    11BuducnostMilsami1 : 2, 0 : 0
    12ByeVirtus
    13DritaBye
    15TNSDifferdange0 : 1, 0 : 1
    16LevadiaIberia 19992 : 2, 1 : 0
    17O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes1 : 1, 4 : 2
    18Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 1, 0 : 2
    20ByeNoah
    21StrasbourgBye
    23VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 4, 2 : 1
    24HB TorshavnBrondby0 : 1, 1 : 1
    25SilkeborgKA Akureyri3 : 2, 1 : 1
    26Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 3, 1 : 2
    27ZiraHajduk Split1 : 2, 1 : 1
    28Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 1, 1 : 2
    29Shakhtar DonetskBye
    32ByeServette
    33AnderlechtBye
    34ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    35ArisPuskas Academy2 : 0, 3 : 2
    36AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva0 : 0, 1 : 0
    37VikingKoper5 : 3, 7 : 0
    38Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 4, 0 : 1
    39FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova0 : 4, 2 : 1
    40HiberniansTrnava1 : 5, 1 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    44ByeFredrikstad
    45LuganoBye
    46ByeCelje
    47OstravaBye
    48Austria ViennaSpaeri5 : 0, 2 : 0
    49RakowZilina3 : 1, 3 : 0
    50ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa0 : 3, 1 : 1
    51Kauno ZalgirisValur2 : 1, 1 : 1
    52ArdaHJK3 : 2, 0 : 0
    53OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 4, 0 : 2
    54ByeHibernian
    56ByeLegia
    57Levski SofiaBye
    58PetrocubSabah Baku1 : 4, 0 : 2
    59IlvesAZ Alkmaar0 : 5, 4 : 3
    60VaduzDungannon3 : 0, 0 : 1
    61Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma4 : 1, 1 : 2
    62PaksMaribor1 : 1, 1 : 0
    64ByeFiorentina
    65AIKPaide6 : 0, 2 : 0
    66Pyunik YerevanGyor1 : 3, 2 : 1
    67DecicSK Rapid2 : 4, 0 : 2
    68Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0, 1 : 0
    69Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 1, 0 : 0
    70KosiceNeman1 : 1, 2 : 3
    72ByeRayo Vallecano
    73VardarLausanne0 : 5, 2 : 1
    74Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana0 : 2, 1 : 1
    75St. PatricksKalju2 : 2, 1 : 0
    76ByeBesiktas
    77LarnePrishtina2 : 1, 0 : 0
    78VarazdinSanta Clara0 : 2, 2 : 1
    79FC BallkaniFloriana1 : 1, 4 : 2
    80St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 0, 0 : 4
    81RosenborgBanga2 : 0, 5 : 0
    82HammarbyCharleroi2 : 1, 0 : 0
    84ByeMainz
    85AktobeSparta Prague0 : 4, 2 : 1
    86Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj2 : 1, 0 : 0
    87Riga FCDila Gori3 : 3, 2 : 1
    88SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem2 : 5, 1 : 2
    89HackenBye
    92ByeCFR Cluj
    93Wolfsberger ACBye
    95ArazAris2 : 2, 2 : 1
    96OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi4 : 0, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeRFS
    3ShelbourneBye
    4VikingurLinfield0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5BreidablikBye
    6MilsamiVirtus0 : 3, 3 : 2
    7DritaBye
    8DifferdangeLevadia3 : 1, 2 : 3
    9O. LjubljanaEgnatia4 : 2, 0 : 0
    10ByeNoah
    11StrasbourgBye
    12Vikingur ReykjavikBrondby0 : 4, 3 : 0
    13SilkeborgJagiellonia2 : 2, 0 : 1
    14Hajduk SplitDinamo Tirana1 : 3, 2 : 1
    15Shakhtar DonetskBye
    16ByeServette
    17AnderlechtSheriff Tiraspol1 : 1, 3 : 0
    18ArisAEK Athens FC1 : 3, 2 : 2
    19VikingBasaksehir1 : 1, 1 : 3
    20Univ. CraiovaTrnava3 : 4, 3 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22ByeFredrikstad
    23LuganoCelje4 : 2, 0 : 5
    24OstravaAustria Vienna1 : 1, 4 : 3
    25RakowMaccabi Haifa2 : 0, 0 : 1
    26Kauno ZalgirisArda0 : 2, 0 : 1
    27PartizanHibernian3 : 2, 0 : 2
    28ByeLegia
    29Levski SofiaSabah Baku2 : 0, 1 : 0
    30AZ AlkmaarVaduz1 : 0, 3 : 0
    31Polissya ZhytomyrPaks1 : 2, 3 : 0
    32ByeFiorentina
    33AIKGyor0 : 2, 2 : 1
    34SK RapidDundee Utd3 : 2, 2 : 2
    35KlaksvikNeman0 : 3, 2 : 0
    36ByeRayo Vallecano
    37LausanneFC Astana2 : 0, 3 : 1
    38St. PatricksBesiktas2 : 3, 1 : 4
    39LarneSanta Clara0 : 0, 0 : 3
    40FC BallkaniShamrock Rovers0 : 4, 1 : 0
    41RosenborgHammarby1 : 0, 0 : 0
    42ByeMainz
    43Sparta PragueArarat-Armenia2 : 1, 4 : 1
    44Riga FCBeitar Jerusalem1 : 3, 3 : 0
    45HackenBye
    46ByeCFR Cluj
    47Wolfsberger ACBye
    48ArazOmonia0 : 5, 0 : 4

    Final
    1HamrunRFS2 : 2, 1 : 0
    2ShelbourneLinfield2 : 0, 3 : 1
    3BreidablikVirtus3 : 1, 2 : 1
    4DritaDifferdange1 : 0, 2 : 1
    5O. LjubljanaNoah2 : 3, 1 : 4
    6StrasbourgBrondby3 : 2, 0 : 0
    7JagielloniaDinamo Tirana1 : 1, 3 : 0
    8Shakhtar DonetskServette2 : 1, 1 : 1
    9AnderlechtAEK Athens FC0 : 2, 1 : 1
    10BasaksehirUniv. Craiova1 : 3, 1 : 2
    11Crystal PalaceFredrikstad0 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeljeOstrava2 : 0, 1 : 0
    13RakowArda2 : 1, 1 : 0
    14HibernianLegia3 : 3, 1 : 2
    15Levski SofiaAZ Alkmaar1 : 4, 0 : 2
    16Polissya ZhytomyrFiorentina2 : 3, 0 : 3
    17GyorSK Rapid0 : 2, 2 : 1
    18NemanRayo Vallecano0 : 4, 0 : 1
    19LausanneBesiktas1 : 0, 1 : 1
    20Santa ClaraShamrock Rovers0 : 0, 1 : 2
    21RosenborgMainz1 : 4, 2 : 1
    22Sparta PragueRiga FC0 : 1, 2 : 0
    23HackenCFR Cluj0 : 1, 7 : 2
    24Wolfsberger ACOmonia0 : 2, 2 : 1