Bačka Topola vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League Bačka Topola - Lugano
Result
4:1
07/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 12
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 15
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.980.86
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
219
Shots on Goal
93
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
44
Free Kicks
1322
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
38
Throw-ins
1915
Goalkeeper Saves
25
Fouls
2213
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
42
Total Passes
361467
Completed Passes
277383
Crosses Completed
54
Interceptions
810

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Stanic P. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Radin M. 🟨,
  • 57', Cirkovic A. 🟨,
  • 58', Belhadj M. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Pantovic M. ⚽,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Belhadj M. ⚽,
  • 62', 3 - 1, Stanic P. ⚽, Stevanovic D. (A),
  • 64', Marques M. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
  • 64', Dos Santos D. ↓, Bislimi U. ↑,
  • 64', Belhadj M. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
  • 70', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 71', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
  • 72', Djakovac I. ↓, Pejic A. ↑,
  • 74', Mahou H. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
  • 83', Banjac M. ↓, Sos B. ↑,
  • 83', Grgic A. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
  • 83', 4 - 1, Pantovic M. ⚽, Cirkovic A. (A),
  • 89', Sos B. 🟨,
  • 89', Bottani M. 🟥,
  • 90', Pantovic M. ↓, Mboungou V. ↑,

Chances of winning


Bačka Topola
18.6%		Draw
22.6%		Lugano
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 26% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 25.2% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bačka Topola's form might have worsened.
  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bačka Topola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Bačka Topola - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.06 ↑
    (3.45)    		 4.15 ↑
    (3.55)    		 1.59 ↓
    (1.95)    		 6.7%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Bačka Topola - Lugano?
  • Users Predictions: Lugano will win (44 of 47 users predict this - 93.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.63% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Bačka Topola is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bačka Topola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lugano is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bačka Topola: Kuveljic N. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Bačka Topola
    03.11.2024 Bačka Topola - Partizan 1:2 ✺
    30.10.2024 Vršac - Bačka Topola 1:2
    27.10.2024 Napredak Kruševac - Bačka Topola 0:3 ✺
    24.10.2024 Bačka Topola - Legia Warsaw 0:3 ✺
    18.10.2024 Bačka Topola - Radnički 1923 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Lugano
    03.11.2024 Lugano - Yverdon 2:0 ✺
    31.10.2024 Grasshoppers - Lugano 1:1 ✺
    27.10.2024 Lugano - Young Boys 2:0 ✺
    24.10.2024 Mladá Boleslav - Lugano 0:1 ✺
    20.10.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1BuducnostBye
    2ByeMilsami
    4ByeVirtus
    5VikingurBye
    7ZalgirisBye
    8ByeLinfield
    9TNSBye
    10ByeDifferdange
    11LevadiaBye
    12ByeIberia 1999
    13O. LjubljanaBye
    14ByeInter Escaldes
    15Din. MinskBye
    16ByeEgnatia
    17DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    18ByeSK Rapid
    19Dundee UtdBye
    20ByeUNA Strassen
    21AktobeBye
    22ByeSparta Prague
    23Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    24ByeU. Cluj
    25IlvesBye
    26ByeAZ Alkmaar
    27VaduzBye
    28ByeDungannon
    33Radnicki 1923Bye
    34SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    35KosiceBye
    36UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    37Riga FCBye
    38Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    39SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    40ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    41VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    42MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    43HB TorshavnBye
    44ByeBrondby
    45ZiraBye
    46ByeHajduk Split
    47Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    48ByeDinamo Tirana
    53La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    54ByeLausanne
    55Zimbru ChisinauBye
    56ByeFC Astana
    57LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    58ByePrishtina
    59VarazdinBye
    60ByeSanta Clara
    61ArisBye
    62ByePuskas Academy
    63AEK Athens FCBye
    64ByeH. Beer Sheva
    65VikingBye
    66ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    67Cherno MoreBye
    68ByeBasaksehir
    69ArazBye
    70ByeAris
    71OmoniaBye
    72Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3
    73FC BallkaniBye
    74FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    75St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    76ByeShamrock Rovers
    77RakowBye
    78ByeZilina
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81AIKBye
    82MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    83Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    84ByeGyor
    85FK SarajevoBye
    86ByeUniv. Craiova
    87HiberniansBye
    88ByeTrnava
    89Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    90Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    91PaksBye
    92ByeMaribor
    95BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    96ByeSabah Baku
    97SilkeborgBye
    98ByeKA Akureyri
    99Novi PazarBye
    100ByeJagiellonia
    101OleksandriyaBye
    102ByePartizan
    107Austria ViennaBye
    108ByeSpaeri
    109RosenborgBye
    110ByeBanga
    111HammarbyBye
    112ByeCharleroi
    113St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    114KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    117Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    118ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    119ArdaBye
    120NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1BuducnostMilsami0 : 0
    2ByeVirtus
    3VikingurBye
    4ZalgirisLinfield0 : 0
    5TNSDifferdange0 : 1
    6LevadiaIberia 19991 : 0
    7O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes4 : 2
    8Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 2
    9DecicSK Rapid0 : 2
    10Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0
    11AktobeSparta Prague2 : 1
    12Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj0 : 0
    13IlvesAZ Alkmaar4 : 3
    14VaduzDungannon0 : 1
    17Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 0
    18KosiceNeman2 : 3
    19Riga FCDila Gori2 : 1
    20SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem1 : 2
    21VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 1
    22HB TorshavnBrondby1 : 1
    23ZiraHajduk Split1 : 1
    24Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 2
    27VardarLausanne2 : 1
    28Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana1 : 1
    29LarnePrishtina0 : 0
    30VarazdinSanta Clara2 : 1
    31ArisPuskas Academy3 : 2
    32AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva1 : 0
    33VikingKoper7 : 0
    34Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 1
    35ArazAris2 : 1
    36OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi1 : 0
    37FC BallkaniFloriana4 : 2
    38St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 4
    39RakowZilina3 : 0
    40ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa1 : 1
    41AIKPaide2 : 0
    42Pyunik YerevanGyor2 : 1
    43FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova2 : 1
    44HiberniansTrnava1 : 2
    45Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma1 : 2
    46PaksMaribor1 : 0
    48PetrocubSabah Baku0 : 2
    49SilkeborgKA Akureyri1 : 1
    50Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 2
    51OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 2
    54Austria ViennaSpaeri2 : 0
    55RosenborgBanga5 : 0
    56HammarbyCharleroi0 : 0
    57St. PatricksKalju1 : 0
    59Kauno ZalgirisValur1 : 1
    60ArdaHJK0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Virtus
    2VikingurTBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24ByeTBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51Bye
    27ByeTBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57Bye
    30TBD #59TBD #60
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