Result
4:1
07/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
- Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5, Moja TV |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 12 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Montenegro | Arena Premium 1 |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 North-macedonia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 15 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 361 | 467 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 277 | 383 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Stanic P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Radin M. 🟨,
- 57', Cirkovic A. 🟨,
- 58', Belhadj M. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 0, Pantovic M. ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 1, Belhadj M. ⚽,
- 62', 3 - 1, Stanic P. ⚽, Stevanovic D. (A),
- 64', Marques M. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 64', Dos Santos D. ↓, Bislimi U. ↑,
- 64', Belhadj M. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
- 70', Hajdari A. 🟨,
- 71', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
- 72', Djakovac I. ↓, Pejic A. ↑,
- 74', Mahou H. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
- 83', Banjac M. ↓, Sos B. ↑,
- 83', Grgic A. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Pantovic M. ⚽, Cirkovic A. (A),
- 89', Sos B. 🟨,
- 89', Bottani M. 🟥,
- 90', Pantovic M. ↓, Mboungou V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bačka Topola
18.6% | Draw
22.6% | Lugano
58.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bačka Topola's form might have worsened.Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bačka Topola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bačka Topola - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.06 ↑
(3.45) |
4.15 ↑
(3.55) |
1.59 ↓
(1.95) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bačka Topola - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
Lugano will win
(44 of 47 users predict this - 93.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.63% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Bačka Topola is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Bačka Topola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lugano is a favorite.
- There will not play in Bačka Topola: Kuveljic N.
(Knee Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against Lugano?
Bačka Topola has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Bačka Topola?
Lugano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bačka Topola - Lugano were as follows:
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
