Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 10
- Referee: Zivkovic A. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (368/456) | 78% (298/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (368/456) | 78% (298/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (21/64) | 41% (26/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (72/108) | 60% (59/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 43% (9/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Miletic N. 🟨,
- 41', Todoroski A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Mezei S. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 0, Savic D. ⚽,
- 59', Opara E. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
- 69', Malekinusic M. ↓, Petkovic M. ↑,
- 69', Manev J. ↓, Bojat D. ↑,
- 69', Alic S. ↓, Alilovic Z. ↑,
- 76', Todoroski A. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
- 76', Mezei S. ↓, Urosevic S. ↑,
- 76', Mladenovic S. ↓, Stancic A. ↑,
- 90', Hadzimujovic A. ↓, Omoregbe B. ↑,
- 90', Singh S. ↓, Radin M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bačka Topola
61.5% | Draw
26.2% | Novi Pazar
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Novi Pazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bačka Topola that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novi Pazar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bačka Topola - Novi Pazar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.65) |
4.2 ↑
(3.7) |
8.98 ↑
(5.6) |
-9.3%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bačka Topola - Novi Pazar?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Bačka Topola will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Novi Pazar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Novi Pazar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bačka Topola won 2.
- Recent form of Bačka Topola has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Novi Pazar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bačka Topola will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bačka Topola won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:19. (average 2.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bačka Topola won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:6. (average 3.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against Novi Pazar?
Bačka Topola has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Bačka Topola?
Novi Pazar has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bačka Topola - Novi Pazar were as follows:
13.04.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Novi Pazar
1:2
24.02.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Bačka Topola
2:1
21.09.2024
Bačka Topola
-
Novi Pazar
5:2
02.04.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Bačka Topola
3:4
29.10.2023
Bačka Topola
-
Novi Pazar
1:1
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 35:6 | 29 | 27 |
| 2 | Partizan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28:10 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | OFK Beograd | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 |
| 8 | TSC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | IMT Novi Beograd | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 13 |
| 11 | Radnicki Nis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Mladost | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Javor | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Radnik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Napredak | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:22 | -13 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
