Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 25
- Referee: Lukic L. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 6 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (198/293) | 76% (329/434) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (198/293) | 76% (329/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (33/80) | 36% (27/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (44/93) | 56% (70/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Sadi D. ⚽, Miletic N. (A),
- 17', Davidovic I. 🟨,
- 45+1', Jovicic B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mezei S. ↓, Bosic R. ↑,
- 46', Milosavic M. ↓, Petrovic A. ↑,
- 65', Tomovic S. ↓, Soprenic M. ↑,
- 66', Jovicic B. ↓, Todoroski A. ↑,
- 67', Alilovic Z. ↓, Petkovic M. ↑,
- 67', Stanisavljevic S. ↓, Kotzebue V. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Marinkovic J. ⚽,
- 80', Savic D. ↓, Mboungou V. ↑,
- 83', Togbe S. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
- 89', Miletic N. ↓, Mirosavic V. ↑,
- 89', Sadi D. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Novi Pazar
43.6% | Draw
28.9% | Bačka Topola
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novi Pazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Novi Pazar - Bačka Topola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.15) |
3.23 ↓
(3.45) |
3.37 ↑
(3.35) |
7.6%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar - Bačka Topola?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Novi Pazar will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Novi Pazar could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:42. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Bačka Topola?
Novi Pazar has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against Novi Pazar?
Bačka Topola has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novi Pazar - Bačka Topola were as follows:
28.09.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Novi Pazar
1:0
13.04.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Novi Pazar
1:2
24.02.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Bačka Topola
2:1
21.09.2024
Bačka Topola
-
Novi Pazar
5:2
02.04.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Bačka Topola
3:4
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 96:26 | 70 | 82 |
| 2 | Partizan | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 66:44 | 22 | 68 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 56:33 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 56 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 48 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45:43 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Radnik | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 43 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
