Result
0:2
30/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 17
- Referee: Zivkovic A. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (444/526) | 64% (150/233) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (444/526) | 64% (150/233) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 29% (20/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (156/201) | 48% (28/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (9/44) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 56 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Jovanovic D. ⚽, Hajdarevic H. (A),
- 30', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
- 43', Chinedu S. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tomovic S. ↓, Mladenovic S. ↑,
- 51', Urosevic S. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 2, Owusu D. ⚽, Pejovic A. (A),
- 63', Jovicic B. ↓, Mezei S. ↑,
- 63', Todoroski A. ↓, Conraad T. ↑,
- 65', Mezei S. 🟨,
- 67', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
- 71', Jovanovic S. ↓, Mboungou V. ↑,
- 75', Hajdarevic H. 🟨,
- 80', Owusu D. ↓, Markocevic D. ↑,
- 81', Pejovic A. ↓, Stevanovic M. ↑,
- 82', Radin M. ↓, Singh S. ↑,
- 86', Jovanovic D. ↓, Duronjic B. ↑,
- 90+1', Hajdarevic H. ↓, Filipovic U. ↑,
- 90+3', Stojanovic D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bačka Topola
41.9% | Draw
28.7% | Radnik Surdulica
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bačka Topola's form might have worsened.Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Radnik Surdulica's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bačka Topola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radnik Surdulica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bačka Topola - Radnik Surdulica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.9) |
3.27 ↓
(3.5) |
3.22 ↓
(4.1) |
6.8%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bačka Topola - Radnik Surdulica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bačka Topola (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bačka Topola will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bačka Topola won 4.
- Bačka Topola is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Radnik is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bačka Topola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Bačka Topola has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Radnik has had a series of home games.
- Bačka Topola could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bačka Topola won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bačka Topola won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against Radnik Surdulica?
Bačka Topola has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against Bačka Topola?
Radnik Surdulica has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bačka Topola - Radnik Surdulica were as follows:
26.07.2025
Radnik Surdulica
-
Bačka Topola
0:0
18.02.2024
Bačka Topola
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:0
01.09.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Bačka Topola
0:1
02.04.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Bačka Topola
0:1
01.10.2022
Bačka Topola
-
Radnik Surdulica
2:1
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 82:20 | 62 | 69 |
| 2 | Vojvodina ✔ | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 52:27 | 25 | 58 |
| 3 | Partizan ✔ | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Radnik | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | TSC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Javor | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Mladost ✔ | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 20:45 | -25 | 28 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:50 | -19 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25:61 | -36 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Mladost is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
