Badajoz vs Jerez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
15/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 4', 1 - 0, ,
  • 8', 1 - 1, ,
  • 19', 1 - 2, ,
  • 35', 2 - 2, ,
  • 39', 2 - 3, ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 51', 3 - 3, ,
  • 66', 3 - 4, ,
  • 78', 4 - 4, ,
  • 90+5', 5 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Badajoz
62.7%
Draw
24.1%
Jerez
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 22.3% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 21.4% 12.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Badajoz - Jerez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.42)
    3.76
    (4.08)
    6.92
    (6.85)
    10.1%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • Badajoz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Jerez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Badajoz has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Badajoz is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Badajoz will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Badajoz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Badajoz - Jerez were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Jerez - Badajoz 0:0
    21.12.2024 Badajoz - Jerez 1:1
    Latest results of Badajoz
    08.03.2026 Badajoz - Pueblonuevo 1:0
    01.03.2026 Badajoz - Montijo 2:1
    22.02.2026 Badajoz - Moralo 0:1
    15.02.2026 Diocesano - Badajoz 0:2
    08.02.2026 Badajoz - Villafranca 1:0
    Latest results of Jerez
    08.03.2026 Jerez - Gévora 3:1
    01.03.2026 Pueblonuevo - Jerez 3:2
    22.02.2026 Jerez - Calamonte 0:0
    14.02.2026 Montijo - Jerez 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito27167455:193655
    2Moralo27158446:262053
    3CD Badajoz27165641:241750
    4Azuaga27147640:261449
    5Jaraiz27139546:252148
    6Cabeza del Buey271112434:211345
    7Villanovense27118834:29541
    8Villafranca271161032:32039
    9Jerez CF27715547:38936
    10Llerenense271051227:32-535
    11Montijo27961230:33-333
    12Puebla27711928:36-832
    13Santa Amalia27951327:39-1232
    14Gevora27681326:41-1526
    15Diocesano26491323:45-2221
    16CD Calamonte273111320:33-1320
    17Montehermoso27471619:46-2719
    18Pueblonuevo26451719:49-3017

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation