Result
5:4
15/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 8', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', 3 - 3, ⚽,
- 66', 3 - 4, ⚽,
- 78', 4 - 4, ⚽,
- 90+5', 5 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Badajoz 62.7% | Draw 24.1% | Jerez 13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Badajoz - Jerez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.45 ↑ (1.42) |
3.76 ↓ (4.08) |
6.92 ↑ (6.85) |
10.1% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
- Badajoz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Jerez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Badajoz has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Badajoz is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Badajoz will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Badajoz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Badajoz won against Jerez?
Badajoz has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jerez won against Badajoz?
Jerez has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Badajoz - Jerez were as follows:
02.11.2025
Jerez
-
Badajoz
0:0
21.12.2024
Badajoz
-
Jerez
1:1
Latest results of Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation