Result
5:4
15/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 8', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', 3 - 3, ⚽,
- 66', 3 - 4, ⚽,
- 78', 4 - 4, ⚽,
- 90+5', 5 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Badajoz
62.7% | Draw
24.1% | Jerez
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Badajoz - Jerez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.42) |
3.76 ↓
(4.08) |
6.92 ↑
(6.85) |
10.1%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
- Badajoz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Jerez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Badajoz has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Badajoz is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Badajoz will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Badajoz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Badajoz won against Jerez?
Badajoz has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jerez won against Badajoz?
Jerez has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Badajoz - Jerez were as follows:
02.11.2025
Jerez
-
Badajoz
0:0
21.12.2024
Badajoz
-
Jerez
1:1
Latest results of Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 59:19 | 40 | 64 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 59 |
| 3 | Moralo | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 46:27 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:27 | 21 | 52 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 39:23 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37:33 | 4 | 44 |
| 9 | Montijo | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 30 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 50:44 | 6 | 38 |
| 11 | Llerenense | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Santa Amalia | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:46 | -17 | 33 |
| 13 | Puebla | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28:40 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Diocesano | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 28:49 | -21 | 28 |
| 15 | Gevora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28:48 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 24:51 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | CD Calamonte | 30 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Montehermoso | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 20:54 | -34 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
